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MLB MVP 2013: Breaking Down Chances for Each Finalist to Win AL, NL Awards

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MLB MVP 2013: Breaking Down Chances for Each Finalist to Win AL, NL Awards
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Now that the finalists for both the American League and National League MVP awards have been announced, there's never been a better time to figure out each contender's chances of winning the award.

On Tuesday night, MLB Network announced three finalist for each of the league's top awards (h/t CBS Sports). However, some favorites possess noticeably better chances of bringing home the hardware.

Let's take a look at each player's chances of winning their league's respective award. 

 

American League

Angels OF Mike Trout: 45 percent

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He didn't play in as many games with playoff implications as his competitors, but what Mike Trout was able to do throughout the second half of the season was unheard of.

As a 21-year-old for much of the 2013 season, Trout hit .324/.479/.539 after the All-Star break. Regardless of how many homers or RBI Miguel Cabrera racked up, Trout's stats stand out the most. 

 

Tigers 3B Miguel Cabrera: 40 percent

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Despite the injury that set back his numbers a bit during the end of the regular season, Cabrera had yet another historic campaign. At one point, it looked like he could repeat as a Triple Crown-winner. 

Cabrera only ended up leading the AL in batting average and trailed by one to Chris Davis in total RBI (ho, hum). But considering his .348 average was more than .20 points higher than the player with the No. 2 batting average in the AL (Joe Mauer), his efficiency was quite an accomplishment. 

I've been splitting hairs about whether Trout or Cabrera deserves the MVP for this season, and I have to give Trout a leg up considering that he finished better than he started. 

 

Orioles 1B Chris Davis: 15 percent

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Chris Davis notched one of the best batting seasons that the MLB has seen in the past half-decade, but he didn't boast the complete package that both Cabrera and Trout did.

Davis hit 53 homers—the best in the AL by nine—but finished outside of the top 20 in batting average at .286. It's tough to argue that the Orioles were happy with that average from their clean-up hitter, no matter how many home runs he jacked.

The Orioles first baseman should get some kind of award for the show he put on this season, but he didn't have the all-around season that his opponents did. 

 

 

National League

Pirates OF Andrew McCutchen: 50 percent

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McCutchen can't boast the ridiculous numbers that Paul Goldschmidt of the Arizona Diamondbacks can, but he's better in the field and is a slightly more valuable asset to his team overall.

McCutchen knocked in 84 RBI this season and finished seventh in the NL in batting average, all while stealing the sixth-most bases. He does all of that while covering centerfield better than nearly any player in the majors.

This has been McCutchen's year, and it's hard to doubt that when you consider his team's success in going deep in the NLDS

 

Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt: 40 percent

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Even though he isn't the favorite, it would be far from surprising if Diamondbacks first baseman Goldschmidt took home the hardware for league MVP.

He hit an incredible 125 RBI—16 more than the second-place finishers (Jay Bruce and Freddie Freeman)—to lead the NL, and his 36 homers were tied with Pedro Alvarez atop the league. Those are undoubtedly impressive numbers and make him an instant contender in the MVP race. 

However, Goldschmidt has a slightly worse batting average than McCutchen and is far from being a weapon in the field. That's enough for McCutchen to stick his neck out for the win, but it's awfully close.

  

Cardinals C Yadier Molina: 5 percent

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There's no doubting the value of Molina to the Cardinals during their epic run to the World Series in October, but he wasn't the year-long stud that both Goldschmidt and McCutchen were.

Molina's .319 batting average ranks up there, and his 80 RBI are nothing to scoff at. However, when you think of Molina, you think of power, and he only hit 12 home runs on the season.

It should be an honor for Molina that he was selected as a finalist because he has no real chance of winning it all in 2013.

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