Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Green Bay Packers: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

The Philadelphia Eagles have won and covered three straight games away from home. This week, the Eagles are in Green Bay to take on a banged-up Packers team on Sunday afternoon.


Point spread
: Packers opened as 10-point favorites before the Aaron Rodgers injury was revealed, then re-opened at -2; the total was 53. Line updates and Matchup report via OddsShark.


OddsShark.com computer says
: 29.2-23.2 Packers


Why the Eagles can cover the spread

Philly just got a record-tying seven touchdown passes from QB Nick Foles in a 49-20 romp over the Raiders in Oakland, so maybe the Eagles can finally put an end to their rotating quarterback situation. Philly ranks fourth in offense and third in rushing, and while they've struggled at times they've also hit the 30-point mark five out of nine games.

They have a knack for covering spreads against the Packers, doing so in 12 of 18 games over the past 25 years.


Why the Packers can cover the spread

Green Bay's fortunes for this week depend almost entirely upon the health of QB Aaron Rodgers, who missed the last three quarters of the loss to the Bears on Monday night after getting driven into the ground on his shoulder. If Rodgers can go, the Pack should be OK; if he can't, they'll have to depend upon their second-ranked running game, which just gained 199 yards against Chicago.


Smart Pick

The OddsShark computer is predicting Green Bay will win this game, but Philly will cover, in a shootout that plays OVER on the total. The Eagles have actually been a better team on the road this season, going 4-1 both SU and ATS on the hotel circuit, than they've been at home. And they catch Green Bay on a short week, after the Packers lost to Chicago on Monday night.

Regardless of the situation with Rodgers, take Philly and the points.


Trends:

Philadelphia is 12-6 ATS vs Green Bay since 1987

Eight of nine meetings since 2000 played UNDER the total

Eagles won three straight road games, played six straight road OVERs


Note
: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark—follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

 

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