NFL Week 10 Picks: Analyzing Biggest Locks Against the Spread

Mike ChiariFeatured ColumnistNovember 5, 2013

MIAMI GARDENS, FL - OCTOBER 31: Andy Dalton #14 of the Cincinnati Bengals attempts to pass the ball against the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium on October 31, 2013 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Chris Trotman/Getty Images)
Chris Trotman/Getty Images

After a wild Week 9 that featured plenty of surprising results and significant injuries, there is a great deal of uncertainty heading into Week 10. Several games are without a betting line since there are plenty of question marks regarding whether or not certain high-profile players will be able to compete.

With that said, most of the Week 10 slate is ripe to be handicapped already. That doesn't mean that it will be easy, though, as almost every game on the schedule could seemingly go either way. If nothing else, that speaks to the parity that is currently dominating the NFL.

There is still money to be made as is the case each and every week, and here are three picks that will line your pockets in Week 10.

Week 10 NFL Picks Against the Spread
Away TeamHome TeamSpreadPick
Washington RedskinsMinnesota VikingsWAS (-3)WAS
Jacksonville JaguarsTennessee TitansTEN (-13)TEN
Philadelphia EaglesGreen Bay Packersxx
Buffalo BillsPittsburgh Steelersxx
Oakland RaidersNew York Giantsxx
St. Louis RamsIndianapolis ColtsIND (-10)IND
Seattle SeahawksAtlanta FalconsSEA (-6)SEA
Cincinnati BengalsBaltimore RavensCIN (-1.5)CIN
Detroit LionsChicago Bearsxx
Carolina PanthersSan Francisco 49ersSF (-6)CAR
Houston TexansArizona CardinalsARI (-2.5)HOU
Denver BroncosSan Diego ChargersDEN (-7)DEN
Dallas CowboysNew Orleans SaintsNO (-7)DAL
Miami DolphinsTampa Bay BuccaneersMIA (-3)TB
Lines courtesy of Vegas Insider


Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5 @ BAL)

After eviscerating the New York Jets in Week 8, it seemed as though the Cincinnati Bengals had established themselves as contenders in the AFC. Things went south in Week 9, however, as the Bengals dropped a tight overtime affair to the Miami Dolphins on Thursday night. 

A Cameron Wake safety in OT gave the Dolphins the victory and left Bengals fans shaking their heads. The Bengals still have all the pieces necessary to be an elite team, though, and they'll have a chance to prove it in a huge divisional clash on Sunday.

Cincinnati is still in control of the AFC North as the rest of the division isn't particularly strong this season, and that includes the defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens lost a game they really needed to win against the Cleveland Browns last week, and they could very well fall into a tailspin. The big issue for Baltimore this season has been an inability to get the running game going. Perennial Pro Bowler Ray Rice is having an awful campaign as evidenced by this fantasy stat courtesy of ESPN's Nate Ravitz.

Whether it's because Rice has lost a step or his offensive line isn't getting the job done, the Ravens offense has become one-dimensional. Quarterback Joe Flacco did some special things during the playoffs last season, but he simply isn't the type of player who is going to put the team on his back over the course of an entire year.

Unlike the Ravens, the Bengals are a complete team with a great defense and multiple weapons on offense. Winning at Baltimore is never easy, but Cincinnati will get it done.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3 vs. MIA)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are certainly bad, but they can't possibly be as bad as their winless record suggests. The Bucs were in the playoff race for much of last season before falling off late, and their bad finish has most definitely carried into 2013. It looked like Tampa was poised to snap out of its season-long funk in a big way in Week 9 as it held a 21-point lead over the Seattle Seahawks on the road, but Seattle stormed back, according to SportsCenter, and eventually won the game in overtime.

While the loss had to be devastating for the Bucs, it can also serve as a stepping stone. Teams rarely give the Seahawks such a challenge in Seattle, so even though a moral victory isn't ideal, it is the biggest positive that Tampa can take away from this season so far. Also, rookie quarterback Mike Glennon seemed poised and comfortable in a hostile environment, which is something that should help him perform well on the Monday Night Football stage this week.

The Bucs will host the Dolphins, who are coming off that aforementioned victory over Cincinnati. In one respect, it can be argued that Miami has an advantage since the Thursday game allows for a few extra days of rest. At the same time, that extra rest could be a negative since the momentum gained from beating the Bengals wanes with each passing day.

The Dolphins are a really tough team to figure out, and even though they have the makings of a good team, they're simply catching Tampa at the wrong time as it will use the prime-time atmosphere to finally get into the win column.


Houston Texans (+2.5 @ ARI)

After weeks of disappointment, the Houston Texans very nearly got back on track against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 9. Despite being without star running back Arian Foster for much of the game, Houston was seemingly in control. Quarterback Case Keenum was given the starting nod over a now-healthy Matt Schaub, and he didn't disappoint. He was excellent throughout the game, but he and stud wide receiver Andre Johnson had a special synergy in the first half, according to the NFL's official Twitter account.

Despite Keenum's huge game, the Texans were unable to hang on to the lead. Quarterback Andrew Luck and wide receiver T.Y. Hilton led Indy from behind, and a couple missed field goals by Texans kicker Randy Bullock loomed large as the Colts escaped victorious. Even so, the Texans have to feel good about a lot of things, much like the Bucs following their loss to the Seahawks. The Texans have a great deal of talent as evidenced by the fact that they made the playoffs in each of the past two seasons, and that talent was on display in Week 9.

The Texans have a tough game on their hands in Week 10 as they will travel to Arizona to take on the Cardinals. While the Cards aren't a particularly exciting team, they figure out a way to get the job done more often than not. They're especially tough at home as they're 3-1 within the confines of University of Phoenix Stadium. With that said, the Texans defense was excellent against the Colts for the most part, and that type of football is portable. Provided the defense remains stout and Keenum is at least competent, the Texans should be able to pull off a road win.


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