What to Expect from Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers' Offense in Week 10

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What to Expect from Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers' Offense in Week 10
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers will take on Carolina's No. 2-ranked defense in Week 10.

Quarterback Colin Kaepernick and the San Francisco 49ers offense are due for some big numbers, heading into their Week 10 matchup against the Carolina Panthers.

San Francisco is riding a five-game winning streak and coming off their Week 9 bye, so the team should be rested and prepared for their first home game since October 13.

All of that alone bodes well for Kaepernick and the 49ers. 

More importantly, however, Kaepernick is set to get some receiving reinforcements in Week 10. 

Veteran wideout Mario Manningham—who has not taken the field since December 23—is expected to be activated by November 10 against Carolina per Steve Corkran of the San Jose Mercury News.

There are a number of elements that factor into Kaepernick's maturation in his second season in the starting quarterback role.  The lack of receiving targets is well-known.  Manningham's season debut should assist with that.

There is also the progression that Kaepernick has made over the course of the season.  From his stellar Week 1 performance against Green Bay through some abysmal weeks following, Kaepernick has shown the signs that he is capable of turning things around.

Head coach Jim Harbaugh describes the maturation process of Colin Kaepernick.

So what should fans expect out of him in Week 10?

There are those who would like to see Kaepernick put up the lofty numbers he did in Week 1.  Yet it does not take much to realize that his performance against Green Bay was not typical of the statistics Kaepernick has produced in weeks since.

Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
Kaepernick's game resides in more than just his passing abilities.

Kaepernick has broken 200 yards passing only twice this season so far—first against Green Bay and then against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 6.

But we all know that merely passing is not part of his game.

Kaepernick's dual-threat capabilities are also what make him so special.  Over the past two games combined, Kaepernick has rushed 18 times for a total of 122 yards and three touchdowns.

Combine that with the fact that he has been very efficient with the ball—ranking No. 3 on ESPN's total quarterback rating system—and Kaepernick's game epitomizes just how San Francisco has been winning games during this streak.

To summarize things, Kaepernick has been turned loose when he needs to be.  The 49ers still emphasize the running game and give Kaepernick chances to make big plays when the opportunity presents itself. 

In spite of the lack of receiving depth, Kaepernick has made use of the offensive weapons available to him—most notably wideout Anquan Boldin and tight end Vernon Davis who are Nos. 1 and 2 in receiving yards, respectively.

Stacy Revere/Getty Images
A healthy Mario Manningham will give Kaepernick more passing targets.

Now, the 49ers can add Manningham to the mix.

So how do Kaepernick and the 49ers offense look to continue their surge against a Carolina defense that has allowed the fewest points in the NFL this season?

While the Panthers defense has done a good job this season, one has to factor in the quality of teams they have played.  Eight games into their schedule, Carolina has played only one team (Seattle) that still has a winning record.

The Panthers have given up only seven passing touchdowns in 2013—tied with the Tennessee Titans for fewest in the league—and rank eighth with 1,766 passing yards allowed.

Considering their strength of schedule, however, those numbers have to be deflated in comparison to some of the better defenses in the league.

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Carolina's defense has given up only seven passing touchdowns this season.

It is worth noting that the Panthers defense has allowed only 633 rushing yards, which is good for second in the NFL.

Kaepernick and the 49ers offense will have to develop a game plan that can get past what Carolina has done so far against weaker teams.

In spite of the Panthers' excellent run defense, expect the ground game to be a major factor.  There is no reason for San Francisco to turn away from what has worked well for them up to this point.

If the 49ers can establish the running game early and often, it should open up the door for Kaepernick to utilize the play action—something he has done very well this season per Matt Maiocco of CSN Bay Area.

That in turn also sets up San Francisco's read-option offense, which could give Kaepernick some lanes to work with.  He has been more aggressive in this regard over the past few weeks, and the same should be expected in Week 10.

Expect Kaepernick to utilize read-option plays like he did in Week 8.

Now, the offense can factor in a healthy Manningham to the mix.

From Carolina's defensive standpoint, their defense will be well aware of the potential created by both Boldin and Davis.  Now they will have to consider Manningham on the field, which should take pressure off of Kaepernick's two favorite targets to a certain extent.

Manningham finished second at the position to Michael Crabtree a year ago, and he has the down-field skills to complement the power-running game as well as the short and intermediate routes fellow receiver Anquan Boldin handles so well, per Matt Barrows of the Sacramento Bee.

In name alone, Manningham is an upgrade over any of the depth receivers San Francisco has employed so far.  The only question is whether or not Kaepernick will be able to develop chemistry with him in such short time.

Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
Kaepernick hopes to develop some quick chemistry with Manningham (left) in Week 10.

If he can, even if for only a play or two, Kaepernick should reap the results of Carolina respecting Manningham's potential.  That should open up the field for more passing and perhaps give Kaepernick more opportunities in the read-option.

Carolina's defense is too good to allow a huge day from Kaepernick through the air.  It is hard to assume he will put up over 300 yards passing.  But an added wideout, combined with how the 49ers offense has been productive and efficient as of late, means that Kaepernick and the offense should be able to generate plenty of scoring opportunities.

Look for Kaepernick to put up around 250 yards through the air in this game.  If Manningham is able to haul in only a couple of catches, that should open up the passing game to Kaepernick's other receivers. 

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports
Kaepernick should be able to put up plenty all-purpose yards against the Panthers.

In addition, Kaepernick should also continue his recent trend of running the ball for considerable gains.  Another 50 yards rushing is reasonable to predict.

From a basic standpoint, the 49ers offense should continue to do what it has done so well during this winning streak.  The only difference is that San Francisco has another weapon to work with, which, in turn, should help Kaepernick out under center.

The 49ers will have two weeks of preparation to do this.  Hopefully the added time will bode well, and there is little reason to assume Kaepernick and the offense will not have a good day against the Panthers in Week 10.

 

All statistics, records and accolades courtesy of Pro-Football-Reference.com unless otherwise indicated.

 

 

Peter Panacy is a featured columnist for Bleacher Report, covering the San Francisco 49ers.  Follow him @PeterMcShots on Twitter.

 

 

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