Week 10 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Dilan Ames@@DilanAmesNFLCorrespondent INovember 5, 2013

Week 10 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

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    Drew Brees has had another great year and is making fantasy owners proud.
    Drew Brees has had another great year and is making fantasy owners proud.Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

    If you’re a fantasy owner who’s looking for a quarterback–whether he’s for immediate use or insurance for your starter–then you’re in luck. Nick Foles, along with Jason Campbell and Case Keenum, all had great performances this past Sunday, and are undoubtedly three of the hottest prospects on the waiver wire. 

    Aside from this trio of passers, Tampa Bay running back Mike James exploded for 158 yards on the ground and jump-pass for a touchdown a la Tim Tebow

    Out of all the pleasant surprises on Sunday, none were more relieving (or terrifying, for some) than seeing Tom Brady have his first big game of the season. Tom Terrific threw for 432 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions against a gritty Pittsburgh defense, portending a red-hot home stretch to 2013 for the Patriots. 

    Especially now that Rob Gronkowski is back and Danny Amendola is making an impact, Brady is just getting started terrorizing defenses. Fortunately for the fantasy owners who have yet to go against Brady and Gronk, the Patriots are on a bye week.

    Of course, Brady’s not the only player who’s putting numbers on the boards; check out the complete stat projections for the top 100 players in Week 10.


    *All stats courtesy of Pro Football Reference*


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    Everything is in place for Aaron Rodgers to have a big game in Week 10.
    Everything is in place for Aaron Rodgers to have a big game in Week 10.Hannah Foslien/Getty Images
    RankPlayerPassing YardsPassing TDsInterceptionsRushing Yards
    1Drew Brees, NO320300
    2Peyton Manning, DEN315300
    3Matthew Stafford, DET 290300
    4Robert Griffin III, WAS2623065
    5Russell Wilson, SEA2602048
    6Case Keenum, HOU 275210
    7Tony Romo260218
    8Eli Manning, NYG 240300
    9Andrew Luck, IND2502114
    10Jake Locker, TEN2302024
    11Ryan Tannehill, MIA240218
    12Terrell Pryor, OAK2251068
    13Nick Foles, PHI235210
    14Mike Glennon, TB220207
    15Andy Dalton, CIN 230214

    As I mentioned earlier, Nick Foles and Case Keenum are coming off of impressive performances, and should be quality starts this week. Don’t expect Foles to throw for another seven touchdowns, but he should have another respectable stat line.

    Robert Griffin III is someone who could have bigger numbers than expected; he’s been on a roll lately and the Vikings are in a pure state of disarray. It should also be noted that the last time these two teams played, RG3 had one of his best games statistically (326 total yards and three touchdowns).

Running Backs

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    Trent Richardson looks to have a big game against the Rams' defense this weekend.
    Trent Richardson looks to have a big game against the Rams' defense this weekend.Bob Levey/Getty Images
    RankPlayer Rushing YardsRec. Rec. Yards Total TDs
     1 Marshawn Lynch, SEA 124 2 21 2
     2 Adrian Peterson, MIN 112 2 12 2
     3 Chris Johnson, TEN 109 1 9 2
     4 DeMarco Murray, DAL 102 4 38 1
     5 LeSean McCoy, PHI 94 4 41 2
     6 Pierre Thomas, NO 99 2 71
     7 Trent Richardson, IND 102 0 0 1
     8 Eddie Lacy, GB 91 3 24 1
     9 Le'Veon Bell, PIT 90 2 22 1
    10Alfred Morris, WAS922291
    11Zac Stacy, STL862141
    12Giovanni Bernard, CIN804511
    13Knowshon Moreno, DEN782241
    14Mike James, TB763281
    15Frank Gore, SF834370
    16DeAngelo Williams, CAR744341
    17Ray Rice, BAL653142
    18Rashad Jennings, OAK694240
    19Ben Tate, HOU632110
    20Fred Jackson, BUF583320

    Two of the league’s best running backs will take the field on opposing sides this Thursday as Adrian Peterson and the Vikings host Alfred Morris and the Redskins. Peterson hasn’t been putting up the numbers that we’re used to seeing from him, but he should be good for a solid performance against an iffy Redskins run defense.

    On the other side of things, Morris has been picking up some steam as he’s averaged 103 yards in his last three games as opposed to the 75.4 he averaged in his first five games.

    Trent Richardson has (for the most part) been underwhelming since being traded to the Colts, but a coming out party is in order against the St. Louis Rams. They’ve allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns this season (11) and their opponents have averaged 125 rush yards per game, setting T-Rich up for a monster game.

Wide Receivers

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    Jordy Nelson has been a big lifesaver for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.
    Jordy Nelson has been a big lifesaver for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.Patrick McDermott/Getty Images
    RankPlayerRec. Rec. YardsRec. TDs
     1 Jordy Nelson, GB 7 120 2
     2 Calvin Johnson, DET 7 114 1
     3 Brandon Marshall, CHI 6 106 1
     4Wes Welker, DEN 8 103 1
     5 Larry Fitzgerald, ARI 5 90 1
     DeSean Jackson, PHI 4 90 1
     7A.J. Green, CIN 4 87 1
     8Andre Johnson, HOU 6 84 1
     9 Pierre Garcon, WAS 583 1
    10Dez Bryant, DAL5791
    11Riley Cooper, PHI4751
    12Harry Douglas, ATL6721
    13T.Y. Hilton, IND4701
    14Torrey Smith, BAL5720
    15Demaryius Thomas, DEN5681
    16Victor Cruz, NYG6710
    17Percy Harvin, SEA*5650
    18Eric Decker, DEN 4620
    19Rod Streater, OAK4581
    20Leonard Hankerson, WAS5600
    21Keenan Allen, SD6541
    22Jarrett Boykin, GB3570
    23Cecil Shorts III, JAX4560
    24Terrence Williams, DAL5550
    25Antonio Brown, PIT4481
    26Kenny Stills, NO4500
    27Emmanuel Sanders, PIT3480
    28Alshon Jeffery, CHI3450
    29Mike Wallace, MIA4420
    30Marvin Jones, CIN3400

    Jordy Nelson is another member of the Green Bay Packers set for a huge game against the Eagles. He’s been Aaron Rodgers’ security blanket with James Jones and Jermichael Finley hurt, and he should be able to run all over the defense of Philadelphia.

    Riley Cooper had the best game of his career last weekend against the Raiders, and while he definitely won’t mirror his three touchdown performance, he’ll be good for a solid chunk of yards and score.

    As the weeks pass by, the whispers of Percy Harvin’s return have been getting louder and louder, and this may be the week he makes his debut for the Seahawks. If he does return to the field, expect him to pick up right where he left off.

Tight Ends

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    Coby Fleener has been a reliable target all year long.
    Coby Fleener has been a reliable target all year long.Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
    RankPlayerRec.Rec. YardsRec. TDs
    1Jimmy Graham, NO6782
    2Jordan Reed, WAS7981
    3 Coby Fleener, IND5871
    4Jason Witter, DAL6841
    5 Martellus Bennett, CHI5801
    6Julius Thomas, DEN6761
    7Tony Gonzalez, ATL 4721
    8Timothy Wright, TB5681
    9Greg Olsen, CAR5610
    10Heath Miller, PIT4540
    11Antonio Gates, SD3430
    12Tyler Eifert, CIN 3371
    13Ed Dickson, BAL 4340
    14Charles Clay3310
    15Garrett Graham4280

    Jimmy Graham has been a model player his whole career, but he’s gaining even more respect throughout the league by playing through his most recent injury. With a torn plantar fascia, Graham still recorded nine catches for 116 yards and a pair of touchdowns against a pretty solid Jets defense.

    Between his perseverance and Drew Brees’ trust in him, he could very well score another couple of touchdowns against the Cowboys.

    The Redskins didn’t necessarily have a need at tight end when they drafted Jordan Reed this past April, but now they’re glad they did. Reed has been a consistent target for RG3 and has been a major component the past few weeks. He should be able to catch a few balls and a touchdown this week against a spotty Minnesota secondary.


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    Mason Crosby is up for a big day on Sunday.
    Mason Crosby is up for a big day on Sunday.Patrick Smith/Getty Images
    Rank  PlayerMakes 40+ XP 
     1Mason Crosby, GB 3 1 5
     2Sebastian Janikowski, OAK 3 2 2
     3Dan Bailey, DAL 4 2 2
     4Steven Hauschka, SEA 3 1 3
     5Graham Gano, CAR 2 1 3
     6Adam Vinatieri, IND 2 1 3
     7Nick Novak, SD 2 0 2
     8Garrett Hartley, NO 2 1 4
     9Mike Nugent, CIN 1 0 3
    10Justin Tucker, BAL 1 02

    Through nine weeks, Chargers kicker Nick Folk has yet to miss a field goal or extra point (23-23, 14-14). He's been able to salvage some of San Diego's drives by nailing long field goals; Folk has made 12 kicks of 40+ yards.


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    Richard Sherman is one of the leaders on Seattle's vaunted defense.
    Richard Sherman is one of the leaders on Seattle's vaunted defense.Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
    RankTeamPoints AllowedSacksTurnovers

    Seattle Seahawks1063
    2Carolina Panthers1452
    3Cincinnati Bengals1432
    4New Orleans Saints1723
    5Tennessee Titans1722
    6Indianapolis Colts1312
    7Denver Broncos1721
    8Pittsburgh Steelers2121
    9Houston Texans2421
    10San Francisco 49ers2731

    It's hard to see much of a dominant week in defense this week as most of the league's best defenses are either on a bye or facing an offense that could score as virtually any time. However, that doesn't mean we won't see some great defensive battles.

    The Panthers and 49ers will each have the unenviable task of facing each other's defense, a game that will be determined by which defense stands tallest against the other's potent offense. Both of these teams can score and score lots, but it will be matter of which defense can sway and keep the momentum going their own way.