Fantasy Football Week 10 Rankings: An Early Look Ahead

Timothy RappFeatured ColumnistNovember 4, 2013

ST. LOUIS, MO - NOVEMBER 3: Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans runs against the St. Louis Rams in the fourth quarter at the Edward Jones Dome on November 3, 2013 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Michael Thomas/Getty Images)
Michael Thomas/Getty Images

How crazy was this week in fantasy football?

Nick Foles threw for seven touchdowns. Tom Brady registered more fantasy points this week (33) than he has in the past four games combined (31). Case Keenum, Ben Roethlisberger and Jason Campbell cracked the top 10 in quarterback points. 

Oh, there's more.

Zac Stacy, Rashad Jennings, Darrel Young, Chris Ivory and Mike James were all top-10 running backs. Andre Johnson's 40 fantasy points equaled his combined points from his previous six games. And Riley Cooper, T.Y. Hilton, Jerricho Cotchery and Aaron Dobson were right behind him on the rankings. 

Fantasy football is unpredictable, folks. On these rankings, we'll take an early stab at predicting Week 10's top players based on recent form and matchups, but as Week 9 proved, sometimes the best you can do with player projections is to close your eyes and throw a dart at a number on the board. 

Notes: All point totals for standard-scoring leagues. Points against stats come from ESPN. The Cleveland Browns, Kansas City Chiefs, New England Patriots and New York Jets are on bye this week.

 

Quarterbacks

Week 10 Quarterback Rankings
RankPlayerTeamOpponentProj. Points
1Aaron RodgersGreen Bay PackersPhiladelphia Eagles30
2Peyton ManningDenver BroncosSan Diego Chargers28
3Drew BreesNew Orleans SaintsDallas Cowboys27
4Matt StaffordDetroit LionsChicago Bears24
5Tony RomoDallas CowboysNew Orleans Saints23
6Philip RiversSan Diego ChargersDenver Broncos21
7Nick FolesPhiladelphia EaglesGreen Bay Packers20
8Robert Griffin IIIWashingtonMinnesota Vikings19
9Russell WilsonSeattle SeahawksAtlanta Falcons18
10Andrew LuckIndianapolis ColtsSt. Louis Rams17

 

Quarterback Notes

Will the real Nick Foles please stand up?

In starts against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Oakland Raiders, Foles has thrown for 702 yards, 11 total touchdowns and a whopping 74 fantasy points. In his start against the Dallas Cowboys, he went 11-of-29 for just 80 passing yards and five fantasy points. 

Remember, however, that in one half of relief duty against the New York Giants, he threw for 197 yards, two touchdowns and accumulated 15 fantasy points. He also has yet to throw an interception this year.

The game against the Cowboys seems like the outlier here, folks—Foles should not only keep his job but also thrive for fantasy owners.

In general, stick with your studs this week. The only two you might want to avoid are Cam Newton and Colin Kaepernick, who face off in a game between two very good defenses where yards and points could be hard to come by.

Andy Dalton also came back down to earth this week—though I think he's a starter in 12-team leagues against the Baltimore Ravens—while Matt Ryan has really struggled the past two weeks and now faces the Seattle Seahawks. Case Keenum earned himself the starting gig, but the Arizona Cardinals have held opposing quarterbacks to 15 or fewer fantasy points in four of their last five games.   

 

Running Backs

Week 10 Running Back Rankings
RankPlayerTeamOpponentProj. Points
1Adrian PetersonMinnesota VikingsWashington25
2Eddie LacyGreen Bay PackersPhiladelphia Eagles23
3Matt ForteChicago BearsDetroit Lions22
4Alfred MorrisWashingtonMinnesota Vikings19
5Reggie BushDetroit LionsChicago Bears18
6LeSean McCoyPhiladelphia EaglesGreen Bay Packers18
7Marshawn LynchSeattle SeahawksAtlanta Falcons17
8Chris JohnsonTennessee TitansJacksonville Jaguars15
9Knowshon MorenoDenver BroncosSan Diego Chargers15
10Zac StacySt. Louis RamsIndianapolis Colts14

 

Running Back Notes

ST. LOUIS, MO - NOVEMBER 3: Zac Stacy #30 of the St. Louis Rams runs against the Tennessee Titans during the third quarter at the Edward Jones Dome on November 3, 2013 in St. Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Michael Thomas/Getty Images)
Michael Thomas/Getty Images

Ladies and gentlemen, Zac Stacy is legit. After Sunday's 178-yard, two-touchdown performance, he's now registered seven or more fantasy points in five straight games and hit double-digit points three weeks in a row.

This week he faces an Indianapolis Colts defense that just gave up 143 rushing yards to a Houston Texans team that played without Arian Foster. This year's Waiver Wire MVP will keep the good times rolling.

Chris Johnson certainly seems revitalized in Tennessee. He's now scored 13 or more fantasy points in three of his last four games, and his 150-yard, two-touchdown performance against the St. Louis Rams was the best he's looked in quite some time. 

He should tear the Jacksonville Jaguars to shreds. 

Alfred Morris owners shouldn't sweat Darrel Young, just like they didn't need to sweat Roy Helu. Despite losing three touchdowns and 18 potential fantasy points on Sunday, Morris still scored 18 fantasy points in standard-scoring leagues. He's hit double-digit points five times this season and has yet to score less than seven points.

Consistency is his middle name. Well, I can't verify that, but he's been pretty darn consistent. 

 

Wide Receivers

Week 10 Wide Receiver Rankings
RankPlayerTeamOpponentProj. Points
1Calvin JohnsonDetroit LionsChicago Bears24
2Jordy NelsonGreen Bay PackersPhiladelphia Eagles22
3Dez BryantDallas CowboysNew Orleans Saints21
4A.J. GreenCincinnati BengalsBaltimore Ravens20
5Wes WelkerDenver BroncosSan Diego Chargers18
6DeSean JacksonPhiladelphia EaglesGreen Bay Packers17
7Brandon MarshallChicago BearsDetroit Lions15
8Demaryius ThomasDenver BroncosSan Diego Chargers15
9Keenan AllenSan Diego ChargersDenver Broncos14
10T.Y. HiltonIndianapolis ColtsSt. Louis Rams13

 

Wide Receiver Notes

Calvin Johnson has the same amount of fantasy points in his last two games (63) as Anquan Boldin has scored this season. So yes, Megatron gets top billing every week until further notice. 

There won't be any surprises amongst the top eight options this week, but at No. 9 we get Keenan Allen of the San Diego Chargers.

Since Week 4, Allen has 65 fantasy points, good for a healthy 13 points per contest. He won't be a WR1 every week, but in a game against the Denver Broncos that could quickly become a shootout, he's a great play this week. 

And then there is T.Y. Hilton, who announced in no uncertain terms that he will be Andrew Luck's top weapon going forward with Reggie Wayne out for the year. Hilton torched a solid Houston pass defense for seven receptions, 121 yards, three touchdowns and 30 fantasy points. Expect him to terrorize the St. Louis Rams in Week 10.

 

Tight Ends

Week 10 Tight End Rankings
RankPlayerTeamOpponentProj. Points
1Jimmy GrahamNew Orleans SaintsDallas Cowboys20
2Julius ThomasDenver BroncosSan Diego Chargers15
3Vernon DavisSan Francisco 49ersCarolina Panthers14
4Jason WittenDallas CowboysNew Orleans Saints12
5Jordan ReedWashington RedskinsMinnesota Vikings12
6Tony GonzalezAtlanta FalconsSeattle Seahawks10
7Antonio GatesSan Diego ChargersDenver Broncos9
8Martellus BennettChicago BearsDetroit Lions9
9Coby FleenerIndianapolis ColtsSt. Louis Rams8
10Timothy WrightTampa Bay BuccaneersMiami Dolphins7

 

Tight End Notes

Nov 3, 2013; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; New Orleans Saints tight end Jimmy Graham (80) catches a touchdown pass over New York Jets cornerback Antonio Cromartie (31) in the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Here is the list of non-quarterback, skill-position players (before Monday Night Football) who have more fantasy points this season than Jimmy Graham's 131: Jamaal Charles, with 147. That's it. Not only is he the most valuable tight end by a long shot, but he's arguably the most valuable player in all of fantasy football, period.

This would be a good week to focus on fringe TE1 options like Coby Fleener—17 combined fantasy points the past two games—and Timothy Wright, who has scored 21 combined points in his last two games.

And yes, I think Vernon Davis is the one player in the game between the San Francisco 49ers and Carolina Panthers who will retain elite fantasy value. With six or more fantasy points in six of eight games—and four double-digit performances—he's been a consistent option for owners all season long. 

 

Defense/Special Teams

Week 10 Defense/Special Team Rankings
RankTeamOpponentProj. Points
1Seattle SeahawksAtlanta Falcons20
2Tennessee TitansJacksonville Jaguars18
3San Francisco 49ersCarolina Panthers15
4Carolina PanthersSan Francisco 49ers13
5Cincinnati BengalsBaltimore Ravens13
6Arizona CardinalsHouston Texans12
7Miami DolphinsTampa Bay Buccaneers12
8Houston TexansArizona Cardinals11
9Oakland RaidersNew York Giants11
10Indianapolis ColtsSt. Louis Rams10

 

Defense/Special Team Notes

This is a tough week for defenses, as a lot of potential options for fantasy owners face solid offenses. The Seahawks are a must-play every week, while the Tennessee Titans have the week's best matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars. 

If you have one of the top five options on the rankings this week, you should be fine. After that, however, trust the matchups this week and find a team like the Miami Dolphins that faces a weak offensive opponent.

 

Kickers

Week 10 Kicker Rankings
RankPlayerTeamOpponentProj. Points
1Matt PraterDenver BroncosSan Diego Chargers15
2Mason CrosbyGreen Bay PackersPhiladelphia Eagles13
3Steven HauschkaSeattle SeahawksAtlanta Falcons13
4Dan BaileyDallas CowboysNew Orleans Saints12
5Garrett HartleyNew Orleans SaintsDallas Cowboys11
6Adam VinatieriIndianapolis ColtsSt. Louis Rams11
7Dan CarpenterBuffalo BillsPittsburgh Steelers10
8David AkersDetroit LionsChicago Bears10
9Nick NovakSan Diego ChargersDenver Broncos9
10Alex HeneryPhiladelphia EaglesGreen Bay Packers8

 

Kicker Notes

BALTIMORE, MD - OCTOBER 13: Place kicker Mason Crosby #2 of the Green Bay Packers kicks a field goal against the Baltimore Ravens in the first quarter at M&T Bank Stadium on October 13, 2013 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)
Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Stephen Gostkowski took over the top spot on the kicker rankings this week, but Matt Prater will retain his place at No. 1 against the San Diego Chargers. Beyond that, my advice at the position remains the same as usual—find a consistent producer with a matchup against a bad defense.

If you get fewer than eight or nine points from your kicker, shame on you. 

 

Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy lineup questions, commiserate with you over underachieving players and wonder how Nick Foles could throw more touchdowns on Sunday (seven) than Terrelle Pryor has thrown for this year (six).

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