BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How Ohio State's Blowout Win Will Impact Rankings

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BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How Ohio State's Blowout Win Will Impact Rankings
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

No. 3 Florida State's 41-14 statement win over No. 7 Miami may have stolen the college football headlines on Saturday, but don't forget about Urban Meyer and Ohio State.

The Buckeyes absolutely dominated Purdue in a 56-0 drubbing on Saturday to push their record to 9-0 and 5-0 in the Big Ten. Ohio State opened up a 28-point lead in the first quarter, and Braxton Miller added on to his case for the Heisman Trophy by going 19-of-23 for 233 yards, four touchdowns and an interception.

With the victory, Ohio State kept pace with FSU, idle No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Oregon. Was it enough to push the Buckeyes past FSU in the BCS standings? Probably not.

Here is my complete prediction for the Week 11 BCS rankings, which are set to be released on Sunday:

BCS Week 11 Projections
Rank School Previous Rank
1 Alabama 1
2 Oregon 2
3 Florida State 3
4 Ohio State 4
5 Stanford 5
6 Baylor 6
7 Clemson 8
8 Missouri 9
9 Auburn 11
10 Oklahoma 10
11 Miami 7
12 Texas A&M 12
13 LSU 13
14 South Carolina 14
15 Oklahoma State 18
16 Northern Illinois 17
17 Fresno State 16
18 Michigan State 22
19 UCLA 20
20 Louisville 19
21 Texas Tech 15
22 UCF 23
23 Wisconsin 24
24 Notre Dame 25
25 Arizona State NR

Alex Espinoza's Picks

Ohio State (.8840) trailed FSU (.9211) by a small margin in the Week 10 BCS rankings, meaning it would have to take a big win and FSU loss, or perhaps even a close win, to leapfrog the Seminoles in the BCS. While Ohio State certainly did its part, so did FSU.

The Seminoles and their .0371 lead over Ohio State in the BCS standings are probably safe after their convincing win over another Top-10 opponent. Purdue, meanwhile, is now 1-7 and 0-4 in the Big Ten. With such an unheralded opponent, voters will likely look at Ohio State's win as an expected outcome whereas FSU's lopsided affair against a ranked foe will only help it in the polls.

In essence, this is Ohio State's season-long conundrum in a nutshell—a perceived weak schedule hurting its status with voters and computers.

To date, the Buckeyes have two wins over then-ranked opponents, beating No. 23 Wisconsin 31-24 and No. 16 Northwestern 40-30. FSU, meanwhile, boasts wins over then-ranked opponents like a 63-0 win against No. 25 Maryland, a 51-14 defeat of No. 3 Clemson and Saturday's victory.

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As they jockey for position for the No. 3 spot—and potentially a chance to reach the BCS title game with an Alabama or Oregon loss—FSU looks poised to stay ahead of Ohio State.

The Seminoles have done all their heavy lifting, and none of their four remaining opponents—Wake Forest, Syracuse, Idaho, Florida—has a record better than .500.

Urban Meyer might be 21-0 as Ohio State's coach dating back to last year, but unless there's a major shakeup at the top of the BCS board, the Buckeyes will likely be shut out of the national title game even if they're undefeated.

It's hard to envision two out the top three schools losing a game the rest of the way, which is probably what it's going to take for the Buckeyes to reach college football's biggest stage.

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