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BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How Miami's Loss Will Shake Up Standings

TALLAHASSEE, FL - NOVEMBER 02:  Jameis Winston #5 of the Florida State Seminoles dives for the endzone during a game against the Miami Hurricanes at Doak Campbell Stadium on November 2, 2013 in Tallahassee, Florida.  (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images)
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images
Steven CookContributor IIINovember 3, 2013

Saturday's college football slate didn't bring many marquee games, but an ACC showdown between No. 3 Florida State and No. 7 Miami was sure to shake up the polls one way or another.

In a less-than-surprising fashion, the third-ranked Seminoles rolled to victory at home and made the Hurricanes look like a team that is not quite deserving of the Top 10 hype it garnered for much of the season.

Despite a lack of big games across the board this weekend, the new BCS standings will have a facelift stemming from Miami's loss.

Here's my best prediction as to how things will unfold come Sunday.

Projected BCS Rankings
RankTeamRecordConferencePvs
1Alabama8-0SEC1
2Oregon8-0Pac-122
3Florida State8-0ACC3
4Ohio State9-0Big Ten4
5Stanford7-1Pac-125
6Baylor7-0Big 126
7Clemson8-1ACC8
8Missouri8-1SEC9
9Oklahoma7-1Big 1210
10Auburn8-1SEC11
11Miami (Fla.)7-1ACC7
12LSU7-2SEC13
13South Carolina7-2SEC14
14Texas A&M7-2SEC12
15Oklahoma State7-1Big 1218
16Fresno State8-0MWC16
17Northern Illinois9-0MAC17
18UCLA6-2Pac-1220
19Louisville7-1AAC19
20Michigan State8-1Big Ten22
21Central Florida7-1AAC23
22Texas Tech7-2Big 1215
23Notre Dame7-2Independent25
24Arizona State6-2Pac-12NR
25Wisconsin6-2Big Ten24
via B/R's Sam Chi

 

Analysis of Projections

Nov 2, 2013; Tallahassee, FL, USA; Florida State Seminoles running back Devonta Freeman (8) scores a touchdown past Miami Hurricanes linebacker Denzel Perryman (52) and defensive back Alex Irastorza (37) during the second half at Doak Campbell Stadium. Ma
Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

There are a lot of voters out there who paid attention to Miami struggling its way through part of that unbeaten record and will drop the 'Canes pretty far down their polls, but it won't be enough to make up for a huge gap in the standings.

The Week 10 BCS standings put Miami at No. 7 with .7560 points. However, at No. 11 lies Auburn at .6025 and No. 12 Texas A&M is all the way down at .4812. 

Seeing Miami drop four spots to No. 11 seems conceivable, especially considering the massive gap between Nos. 11 and 12 in last week's rankings. 

As for the rest of the standings, Texas Tech dropped down the rankings after Oklahoma State took it down in a Big 12 matchup. 

The Big Ten saw its own Top 25 matchup when Michigan played Michigan State and the Wolverines' lethargic loss was enough to drop them out of the standings in my book. 

Other than that, the shakeup in the standings will be pretty minimal. That is, other than a huge Miami-Florida State showdown that will likely drop the Hurricanes out of the Top 10. 

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