BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How Miami's Loss Will Shake Up Standings

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BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How Miami's Loss Will Shake Up Standings
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

Saturday's college football slate didn't bring many marquee games, but an ACC showdown between No. 3 Florida State and No. 7 Miami was sure to shake up the polls one way or another.

In a less-than-surprising fashion, the third-ranked Seminoles rolled to victory at home and made the Hurricanes look like a team that is not quite deserving of the Top 10 hype it garnered for much of the season.

Despite a lack of big games across the board this weekend, the new BCS standings will have a facelift stemming from Miami's loss.

Here's my best prediction as to how things will unfold come Sunday.

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team Record Conference Pvs
1 Alabama 8-0 SEC 1
2 Oregon 8-0 Pac-12 2
3 Florida State 8-0 ACC 3
4 Ohio State 9-0 Big Ten 4
5 Stanford 7-1 Pac-12 5
6 Baylor 7-0 Big 12 6
7 Clemson 8-1 ACC 8
8 Missouri 8-1 SEC 9
9 Oklahoma 7-1 Big 12 10
10 Auburn 8-1 SEC 11
11 Miami (Fla.) 7-1 ACC 7
12 LSU 7-2 SEC 13
13 South Carolina 7-2 SEC 14
14 Texas A&M 7-2 SEC 12
15 Oklahoma State 7-1 Big 12 18
16 Fresno State 8-0 MWC 16
17 Northern Illinois 9-0 MAC 17
18 UCLA 6-2 Pac-12 20
19 Louisville 7-1 AAC 19
20 Michigan State 8-1 Big Ten 22
21 Central Florida 7-1 AAC 23
22 Texas Tech 7-2 Big 12 15
23 Notre Dame 7-2 Independent 25
24 Arizona State 6-2 Pac-12 NR
25 Wisconsin 6-2 Big Ten 24

via B/R's Sam Chi

 

Analysis of Projections

Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

There are a lot of voters out there who paid attention to Miami struggling its way through part of that unbeaten record and will drop the 'Canes pretty far down their polls, but it won't be enough to make up for a huge gap in the standings.

The Week 10 BCS standings put Miami at No. 7 with .7560 points. However, at No. 11 lies Auburn at .6025 and No. 12 Texas A&M is all the way down at .4812. 

Is No. 11 a justifiable spot for the Hurricanes?

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Seeing Miami drop four spots to No. 11 seems conceivable, especially considering the massive gap between Nos. 11 and 12 in last week's rankings. 

As for the rest of the standings, Texas Tech dropped down the rankings after Oklahoma State took it down in a Big 12 matchup. 

The Big Ten saw its own Top 25 matchup when Michigan played Michigan State and the Wolverines' lethargic loss was enough to drop them out of the standings in my book. 

Other than that, the shakeup in the standings will be pretty minimal. That is, other than a huge Miami-Florida State showdown that will likely drop the Hurricanes out of the Top 10. 

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