NFL Picks Week 9: Best Last-Minute Bets to Make Against the Spread

Alex KayCorrespondent INovember 3, 2013

FOXBORO, MA - OCTOBER 27: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots looks for an open man in the first half against the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium on October 27, 2013 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

The Sunday slate for Week 9 of the 2013 NFL season is finally upon us, leaving little time for gamblers to get to the sportsbook and place their last-minute bets.

Fortunately, there are still a few hours to read over the update lines and make an informed decision before pulling the trigger on a wager.

Let’s take a look at my picks for each game and a closer look at two teams that are almost guaranteed to cover.

NFL Week 9 Lines and Predictions
Away TeamHome TeamLinePrediction (ATS)
Atlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersCAR -7CAR
Minnesota VikingsDallas CowboysDAL -9.5DAL
New Orleans SaintsNew York JetsNO -6NO
Tennessee TitansSt. Louis RamsTEN -3STL
Kansas City ChiefsBuffalo BillsKC -3.5KC
San Diego ChargersWashington Redskins-1WAS
Philadelphia EaglesOakland RaidersOAK -2.5OAK
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSeattle SeahawksSEA -14.5SEA
Baltimore RavensCleveland BrownsBAL -1.5CLE
Pittsburgh SteelersNew England PatriotsNE -6.5NE
Indianapolis ColtsHouston TexansIND -2IND
Chicago BearsGreen Bay PackersGB -10CHI


NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-6.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers

The 6-2 Pats are looking to ring the death knell on the 2-5 Steelers’ 2013 season this Sunday and are almost a touchdown favorite to do so.

While New England’s once-prolific passing offense has been sputtering, this team has built an identity upon the rushing game and defense.

The Patriots have conceded an average of just 215.5 yards per game through the air and consistently abuse the opposing “D” for over 120 yards per game.

Oct 13, 2013; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots running back Stevan Ridley (22) celebrates his touchdown against the New Orleans Saints with guard Logan Mankins (70) during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark L. Baer-USA TOD
Mark L. Baer-USA TODAY Sports

With Pittsburgh averaging a mere 68.7 yards per game on the ground and conceding 121.9 yards a contest to opposing rushers, this matchup is ripe for a blowout in the home team’s favor.

The Steelers haven’t fared well away from Heinz Field this year, winning just a single road game against the up-and-down New York Jets. That isn’t going to change at Foxborough, where the Pats haven’t lost in the regular season since Week 15 of the 2012 campaign.

Don’t be surprised if head coach Bill Belichick dials up plenty of running plays and has his AFC East-leading squad use basic, smashmouth football to obliterate the competition and cover the spread.


Indianapolis Colts (-2) over HOUSTON TEXANS

Oct 20, 2013; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (12) waves to the crowd as he leaves the field after the game against the Denver Broncos at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Colts are a surprisingly slim favorite over their slumping AFC South rivals, the Texans, on Sunday Night Football.

Considering Indianapolis has vanquished the likes of the Denver Broncos, Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers, it’s hard to imagine lowly Houston—currently in the midst of a five-game slide—winning in this nationally televised showdown.

Both teams are coming off a bye in Week 8, which should mean relatively equal footing in terms of rest.

While the season-ending injury to superstar receiver Reggie Wayne will certainly hurt Indianapolis, young talents such as T.Y. Hilton and Darrius Heyward-Bey are more than ready to step up and replace the veteran.

As long as Andrew Luck is under center, he’s going to make this Indianapolis receiving corps productive and look good doing it.

That is in stark contrast to the nightmare scenario the Texans are having at the quarterback position in 2013, as Case Keenum has been named the starter for this game—despite the fact that Matt Schaub has returned to practice after missing time with an ankle sprain.

The unproven former third-stringer performed well in a close game against the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs in Week 7, but he’s far from being the game-changer the Texans need to save their season.

Expect the Colts’ ferocious defense to capitalize on this opportunity, creating a number of turnovers and three-and-outs that will have the offense in position to hang a myriad of points on the board. The chalk will easily cover this foolish spread, so hammer the line before it moves.