Tennessee is 1-8 ATS the last nine times it's been favored on the road. St. Louis is 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 times it's been lined as a home dog. The Titans are short favorites for Sunday's game at the Jones Dome.
Titans opened as four-point favorites; the total was 41. (Line updates and Matchup report)
Why the Titans Can Cover the Spread
Tennessee got starting QB Jake Locker back two weeks ago, although his return didn't result in a victory against San Francisco. But St. Louis is not San Francisco. The Titans are actually 3-0 ATS on the road this season, and they catch the Rams on a short week after they lost to Seattle on Monday night.
Why the Rams Can Cover the Spread
St. Louis couldn't get into the end zone against Seattle, but Kellen Clemens looked a bit rusty, and that Seahawks defense is no pushover. With more reps in practice and going against Tennessee's defense, which ranks 24th against the run, the Rams have a good chance of scoring more than nine points.
The OddsShark NFL predictor computer is calling for a Tennessee victory, but for St. Louis to cover and for the game to stay UNDER its total. This might be one of the uglier affairs of this weekend. Neither team is very good at moving the ball, and both defenses are middling, at best. A field goal might mean a lot as far as covering the spread goes.
While the Rams haven't done much to inspire confidence, in a game that looks like a tossup the home, dog is the right play.
Titans 1-8 ATS past nine games as road favorites.
OVER is 6-1 past seven Rams home games.
Rams 6-2-1 ATS past nine games as home underdog.
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