Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
(Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images)

The Minnesota Vikings are 7-1 both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last eight games against Dallas, but the Cowboys are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as home chalk. Dallas is a double-digit favorite for its home game against the sinking Vikings on Sunday.


Point spread:
 The Cowboys opened as 10-point favorites; the total was 47. (Line updates and Matchup report)


Computer Prediction:
29.9-16.7 Cowboys

 

Why the Vikings will cover the spread

Earlier this year, Minnesota played both the Lions and the Bears tough on the road. They should have covered against Detroit, and they did cover at Chicago.

Also, the Vikings still have Adrian Peterson, who gets a chance to go against a 32nd-ranked Dallas defense that can be exploited by the run and might again be without defensive end DeMarcus Ware.

Finally, Minnesota is 4-3-1 ATS the last eight times it's been dogged by more than a touchdown.

 

Why the Cowboys will cover the spread

Dallas is 4-4 SU this season but 7-1 ATS as it continues to exceed expectations. Those four losses have come by a total of 14 points.

The Cowboys are averaging 29 points per game, with QB Tony Romo throwing 18 TD passes against five interceptions.

Minnesota looks like a good team to bounce back against after a tough loss, considering the Vikes thought about cleaning house by trading some of their veterans, including DE Jared Allen, as per ESPN.com's Ben Goessling.

 

Smart Pick

The Odds Shark computer is predicting that Dallas will win this game, cover and that the game will stay UNDER its total.

The Cowboys might only be 4-4, but that's good enough for first place in the NFC East. They've got a lot to play for.

Minnesota, meanwhile, is just not a good team at the moment—even with Peterson. How much longer before the Vikes fire head coach Leslie Frazier?

Give the points, and take the Pokes.

 

Trends

Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last six games when playing on the road against Dallas.

Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games.


Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow them on Twitter for injury and line move updates.

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