Projecting Full Season Stats for Each Boston Celtics Player
A lot of attention is going to be paid to the Boston Celtics individual statistics this season.
In years of rebuilding, what is most important is the improvement of individual players, and how those numbers result as a whole team.
Fans want to see that Jeff Green can indeed score at a high level. They need to know if Avery Bradley can run an offense or be even a marginal offensive player overall. They'll hope that Kelly Olynyk kick-starts his NBA career with some solid numbers, and Jared Sullinger can build upon his injury-shortened rookie year.
These are all questions that will be answered, for better or worse, over the coming months.
10.8 points, 3.0 assists, 2.3 rebounds, 2.1 steals, 42 percent shooting
One of the most disappointing facts to come out of the Boston Celtics preseason is that Avery Bradley appears no closer to being a real point guard.
This isn't to say Bradley failed or didn't work on that aspect of his game. It may just not be in there for him to tone. The fact does remain, though, that Bradly will be a limited NBA player without passable offense.
It does appear that Brad Stevens will be using him as a starting guard, perhaps next to Jordan Crawford. This could potentially be a nightmare of a backcourt as the duo hold a combined career assist-to-turnover ratio of 4.4-to-3.2.
I do believe with a full, healthy season, Bradley can get his scoring back into the double-digits and his steals should continue to climb with better grasp of NBA defenses.
11.1 points, 2.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds, 39.5 percent shooting, 32 percent three-point shooting
Somebody has to score on NBA teams. In the early going of this season, that will likely be Jordan Crawford.
With Rajon Rondo out for an unknown time, Crawford stepped his game up in the preseason. He earned three starts and appears to be the front-runner for that starting guard spot alongside Avery Bradley.
Crawford has never shot particularly well, but he does shoot. That is still a valuable trait to possess and it should allow the player to get back into double-digit scoring. Through the first half of the season that scoring number may actually be up around 13-14 points, but when Rondo does eventually return, Crawford will be relegated to a reserve role and his numbers will be slashed.
Jordan does do some other things decently well and showed a surprisingly deft passing game in the preseason. If he is given the opportunity, he should put up so-so assist numbers as well.
18.2 points, 4.7 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 43.2 percent shooting, 36 percent three-point shooting
Jeff Green still wants to score 20 points per game. While it is definitely possible, there is very little evidence he is capable of such a task.
Scoring at that level isn't an easy thing that many players do. Only nine players managed to do so last season. Since two played for Miami and two for Oklahoma City, 23 teams didn't have that type of prolific scorer.
Green has maxed out at 16.5 points per game in any season of his career. While he should see more than the 13.7 field-goal attempts per game he saw that season, I'll give him 18.2 points, but not 20.
It must be understood that those extra four or five shots aren't coming with the ease they came with as a member of the 2008-09 Oklahoma City Thunder. They are coming as the focal point of an offense now, which means being the focal point of a defensive scheme as well.
Green's rebounding was horrid last year, but an extra 10 minutes per game will get him back near five a night.
12.4 points, 8.6 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 51.3 percent shooting
These numbers may be the most interesting to watch this season.
Jared Sullinger got a lot of credit for posting six points and 5.9 rebounds in 45 games last season. Now that he is back and healthy, we'll see if a leap in minutes from his 19.8 in 2012-13, will result in a production boom as well.
I'm giving Sullinger a lot of credit with 12.4 points per game, even if it may not seem that way. That is more than double his production as a rookie and he won't be getting double the minutes.
Sullinger's problem offensively is that he is undersized. He shot just 49.3 percent last season, which is slightly below where you want to be as a power forward. His size is going to prevent him from ever getting up into the high 50s, but if he can get crafty enough to score in the post without getting his shot blocked, 51 percent and 12 points per game are doable.
It certainly appears as though Sullinger will earn a starting role with the Celtics after serving his one-game suspension. Because of that confidence level Brad Stevens is showing, I'm also comfortable giving Sullinger 8.6 rebounds per game.
His size and athleticism, along with the load of power forwards on this roster, may keep his overall numbers limited, but this is a very strong sophomore campaign.
11.3 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 48 percent shooting
While I still don't see Brandon Bass finishing the season in green, for however long he is a Boston Celtics player, these should be approximately his numbers.
Bass had a down-year last season, scoring just 8.7 points per game, down from 12.5 the year before.
Playing with Jared Sullinger, Kris Humphries and Vitor Faverani may open up Bass' midrange game a bit more. With Kevin Garnett, teams caught onto his game very quickly after that breakout 2012-13 campaign. Both players were perimeter-oriented shooters. His new cast of teammates look to draw some attention inside.
Bass' rebounding has been steadily mediocre as he has reached his peak NBA years. That should change from the 5-6 range for a player with long arms, who spends a fair amount of time around the hoop.
12.6 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 43.1 percent shooting
The sixth-man role may suit Gerald Wallace pretty well. He was cast with too many responsibilities on the Brooklyn Nets last season as the starting small forward and main defensive leader.
At his age, backing up Jeff Green and seeing a handful of minutes alongside him is much more reasonable for Wallace.
I believe it is also a role in which he will succeed, to whatever level Wallace can be considered a success at this point. His contract won't ever be worthy, but as long as Boston puts him in the best situation, this can be a quality partnership.
Depending on who joins him on that second unit, Wallace will be responsible for baskets. The Celtics plan to play a faster pace than the somewhat older and bigger Nets of last season. If Wallace once thrived in an up-and-down style offense, and can do so again.
With Wallace in charge of his own shots again, he could elevate that putrid sub-40 shooting percentage, which in turn gets him back into double-digit scoring.
11.6 points, 4.2 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 50.3 percent shooting
If Brad Stevens keeps Kelly Olynyk in a consistent game plan, there is little reason he won't have a successful rookie year.
The Boston Celtics No. 13 overall pick has proven an ability to score at every level he has encountered. He scored in college, at the Summer League and in preseason games. Now comes the final test, regular season NBA games.
I believe he will be getting a lot of opportunities to play. If they are kept consistent, he will impress offensively. He shot very well during the preseason and surprised a bit with his rebounding numbers.
While those expectations should be tempered, Olynyk will have opportunities to score in double-figures. Especially after Danny Ainge is possibly able to clear some of that frontcourt log-jam by dealing Brandon Bass or Kris Humphries.
7.7 points, 8.8 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 45.1 percent shooting
This will all be dependent on playing time. As we've learned throughout Kris Humphries' career, when he is given consistent minutes, he produces.
Those good numbers have, of course, come on poor teams, but that could be unrelated. If Brad Stevens finds a way to utilize Humphries on a regular basis, he will rebound at a high level and not sacrifice a ton offensively.
The key to Humphries scoring is offensive rebounds. If he is on the floor long enough to develop a report and sense of where the game is going, he is good for a couple put-backs a night.
Humphries also possesses a toughness that Jared Sullinger and Kelly Olynyk may not know yet, and Brandon Bass just doesn't have.
9.4 points, 2.3 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 46 percent shooting
I'll still hold out hope for MarShon Brooks to be a productive NBA player.
As the Boston Celtics just pulled his option for next season, this year is a big one for him. The possibilities range from battling to earn a spot on someone's training camp roster next summer, to earning a lucrative extension with the Celtics or any other team.
In all likelihood, the results will fall somewhere in the middle. Brooks will score when given playing time, but he is still limited in other areas. Despite his height, he isn't a great defender or rebounder. Those are two aspects he has to be willing to work on to stay in the league.
I don't think you can hold Brooks' scoring down on a roster like this. Either he will play an integral role in this team's success or rack up points during garbage time of their failures. The Celtics won't be able to hide Brooks like the Brooklyn Nets did.
7.8 points, 2.4 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 42.3 percent shooting, 33.4 percent three-point shooting
Courtney Lee can't really afford to have another disappointing season. After last year's sad campaign, Lee is becoming known as an over-priced bust.
The Boston Celtics own him for the next three seasons at well over $5 million a pop. That is quite a price for a guy averaging seven points, with okay defense and nothing else. Sadly, the ship may have sailed on Lee in Boston.
He needed badly to produce last season and didn't. He needed to come out and assertively win his starting job back in training camp and preseason games. Again, he appears to have been unsuccessful. Being replaced by Terrance Williams has become being replaced by Jordan Crawford.
If you take those two instances as gospel, Lee has to pull the trigger more with his shot and be a better ball-handler.
Lee still shot 46.4 percent from the field and 37.2 percent from beyond the arc last season. He just didn't shoot enough.
2.7 points, 0.8 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 38.1 percent shooting
I'm not sure where Keith Bogans fits in with this depth chart.
The thumb injury held him to just three preseason games and may have him out for the season opener as well. Even in those games he played, he was limited to 22 total minutes.
Boston has too many younger players at his position that they want to see have a chance. For now, the 33-year-old Bogans will ride the bench and hopefully serve as an assistant coach and mentor.
4.3 points, 3.2 rebounds, 0.3 assists, 0.9 blocks, 49.1 percent shooting
If the preseason is any indication, it appears that Vitor Faverani will be getting serious minutes in this depth chart.
At nearly seven feet and 260 pounds, Faverani is by far the Boston Celtics' biggest body. Since they have no other natural center, it would make sense that Faverani sees some time defending the league's other legitimate bigs.
I do believe his preseason numbers were a bit elevated as Brad Stevens gave his main players a heavy amount of rest. While Faverani will play a fair amount this season, let's temper expectations for him to be anything more than a big body.
At age 25, if he were more than that, he would have been in the NBA or on league radars before this season.
4.9 points, 4.2 assists, 2.1 rebounds, 1.1 steals, 39.5 percent shooting
It looks like Brad Stevens is going into the season with a Jordan Crawford-Avery Bradley backcourt.
Despite Phil Pressey's steady hand while running the offense for stretches of the preseason, he'll be relegated to a backup role. If there is an injury to any guards, or simply a growing frustration in Boston's inability to set up plays, Pressey will be elevated quickly.
He is a nice card to have in one's back pocket. It won't be long before Stevens and the Celtics are calling for him to play major minutes. Unfortunately, his inability to shoot at the college level will only be exacerbated by bigger and stronger NBA guards.
Still, Pressey has an eye for the court and ability to get his teammates open looks. That would certainly ease the transition for when Rajon Rondo eventually returns.
17.3 points, 9.1 assists, 5.4 rebounds, 1.7 steals, 47.6 percent shooting
Whenever he does feel healthy enough to get back on the floor, Rajon Rondo should have little holding him back.
The team will be craving his game something fierce at that point, allowing him to immediately put his stamp on their game.
That stamp must include scoring from now on. That means averaging close to four more points per game than he ever has before. It took 12.2 shots per game for Rondo to get up to 13.7 points last season. If that first number bumps to 14 or 15, Rondo could reach the 17-point marker.
In order for that to happen, though, his assists will take a hit. Of course he won't change who he is overall, so they will still be there, just in single digits.
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