BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How Missouri's Loss Will Impact Standings

Joseph ZuckerFeatured ColumnistOctober 27, 2013

COLUMBIA, MO - OCTOBER 26:  Quarterback Connor Shaw #14 of the South Carolina Gamecocks carriers the Mayor's Cup off the field with teammates Mason Zandi #83 and Cody Gibson #78 after beating the Missouri Tigers on October 26, 2013 at Faurot Field/Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Missouri.  South Carolina defeated Missouri in double overtime 27-24. (Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images)

Once again, the college football polls are due for a major shakeup.

The No. 20 South Carolina Gamecocks went on the road and upset the No. 5 Missouri Tigers. It was the Gamecocks' first statement win of the season, while the Tigers were handed their first loss.

With such a highly ranked team going down, along with plenty of other Top 25 teams, you're going to see quite a bit of movement between the Week 9 and Week 10 polls.

In an effort to try and prepare you for what could be in store, here's what the AP Poll could look like when it's unveiled, based off the previous edition.

Projected BCS Rankings
RankTeamConferencePvs
1AlabamaSEC1
2OregonPac-123
3Florida StateACC2
4Ohio StateBig Ten4
5StanfordPac-126
6BaylorBig 128
7Miami (Fla.)ACC7
8ClemsonACC9
9MissouriSEC5
10OklahomaBig 1215
11AuburnSEC11
12LSUSEC13
13Texas TechBig 1210
14Texas A&MSEC16
15Northern IllinoisMAC18
16South CarolinaSEC21
17UCLAPac-1212
18Fresno StateMWC17
19Oklahoma StateBig 1219
20LouisvilleAmerican20
Via Bleacher Report's Sam Chi

*Note: Fresno State was in overtime against San Diego State, but the rankings illustrate what could happen in the event of a Bulldogs win.

 

How Far Does Missouri Fall?

Oct 26, 2013; Columbia, MO, USA; Missouri Tigers kicker Adrew Baggett (99) reacts missing a field goal during the second overtime of the game against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Faurot Field. South Carolina won 27-24. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-US

It will be very interesting to see how the voters handle this loss from the Tigers' perspective.

While it was a deserved jump, the way Missouri went from No. 14 to No. 5 in the span of a week was surprising. The voters are generally rigid, and a team that's unranked to start the season won't crack the Top Five nine weeks into the season, even if it's undefeated.

They might end up taking out some frustration on the Tigers and drop them even further since they didn't have any hype coming into the season. Sure it's nonsensical, but when did the polls always start making sense?

You could see it where the Tigers still hold on to a Top 10 spot, following Texas Tech's loss to Oklahoma. UCLA also lost, so it won't move up from No. 12 to take the Red Raiders' spot and threaten Missouri's place in the Top 10.

Losing to the Gamecocks in double-overtime looks a lot better than the Sooners' 16-point loss to Texas. There's no chance OU jumps up, either.

The 10th spot seems to make the most sense. Auburn would jump up to No. 9, since its only loss was to LSU, while the voters probably won't put Missouri below a two-loss LSU or Texas A&M.

 

Where Does South Carolina Go?

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With the losses from Texas Tech, Virginia Tech and UCLA, South Carolina has a great chance to get back into the Top 15 if all the pieces fall right.

I think this is a team the voters want to like. It plays in the SEC, Steve Spurrier's the head coach, Jadeveon Clowney's the star player and Connor Shaw earned some grit and determination points to satisfy any voters turned off by Clowney.

The two schools most standing in the way of South Carolina and the Top 15 are Oklahoma State and Fresno State. It's unlikely Louisville will be a major factor considering its strength of schedule, so you can forget about the Cardinals.

At the time of writing, the Bulldogs were going into overtime against San Diego State. Even with a win, the close manner in which it happened might be enough to swing voters in SC's favor in a head-to-head battle between the two schools.

There doesn't look to be any way the Gamecocks can go ahead of the Cowboys, though. Oklahoma State got the job done against Iowa State after starting the game slowly. It only has one loss, as well.

In the end, OK State will remain one spot ahead of South Carolina.

 

The National Title Picture

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The big winners here are Ohio State, Miami, Baylor and pretty much the BCS as a whole.

The Buckeyes, Hurricanes and Bears don't have to worry about whether or not they'd be able to jump an unbeaten Missouri, which neither of the three would probably have been able to do. You could throw Oregon in there as well, and Florida State would be substituted for Miami depending on the result of next week's game.

By going through the regular season and presumably beating Alabama in the SEC title game, the Tigers would have vaulted to at least No. 2 in the polls and likely No. 1. For better or worse, it's pretty much a given that a team getting through the SEC unbeaten is going to be the top team in the country.

Now, none of those aforementioned teams will have to worry about Missouri surging up the polls. Even in the event the Tigers roll through the SEC East and beat the Crimson Tide in the title game, it's going to be hard for voters to overlook a home loss to South Carolina, especially when Mizzou was up so late.

For the BCS, the system gets that much closer to avoiding having a doomsday scenario in its final season.

For once, it would be great to see four or five teams unbeaten, and then have the computers try to make sense of it all. Having Missouri lose just lessens the chance we can see that complete anarchy before the playoff structure begins next season.