Seattle Seahawks vs. St. Louis Rams: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistOctober 23, 2013

SEATTLE, WA - DECEMBER 30:  Russell Wilson #3 of the Seattle Seahawks is throws under pressure from the St. Louis Rams in the first half at CenturyLink Field on December 30, 2012 in Seattle, Washington.  (Photo by Kevin Casey/Getty Images)
Kevin Casey/Getty Images

Seattle is 5-0-1 in its last six appearances on Monday Night Football, while St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last six Mondays. Those two trends collide this Monday night as the Seahawks visit the Rams with the point spread climbing daily in favor of Seattle.


Point Spread

Seahawks opened as nine-point favorites but bet up to 11.5 points by Wednesday; the total was 41.5. (Line updates and Matchup report)


Computer Prediction

31.3-17.7 Seahawks


Why the Seahawks Can Cover the Spread

Seattle owns the best record in the NFC at 6-1, is 5-2 ATS, ranks second in the league in rushing, second in total defense and second vs. the run. The Seahawks have also won eight of the last 10 games in this divisional rivalry, covered the spread in six of those games and are 4-1 ATS their last five games favored on the road.

Now they get St. Louis just after its quarterback, Sam Bradford, has been lost for the season to a knee injury.

The spread is climbing, but Seattle continues to cover road spreads.


Why the Rams Can Cover the Spread

St. Louis managed to split the season series with Seattle last year, and it covered the spread both games as dogs of two and 11 points. The Rams are also 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games as home dogs. St. Louis is without Bradford, but backup Kellen Clemens at least has some experience with a dozen NFL starts under his belt.

And never underestimate Coach Fisher, who's shown a knack for rallying the troops in times of trouble.


Monday Night Smart Pick

OddsShark's NFL computer is predicting Seattle to win and cover and for the game to play OVER the total. The Seahawks are probably salivating at the prospect of owning the top seed in the playoffs, but to do so they can't mess this one up. And with St. Louis down to its backup QB, that possibility seems mighty slim.

Ten or more points can be a lot to give up on the road in the NFL, but that's the way to go on this one. Take Seattle.



The Seahawks are 5-0-1 ATS in their past six MNF battles.

St Louis is 1-5 ATS in its past six MNF games.

The Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in their past 12 games vs Rams.

The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their past five as road favorites.

The Rams are 6-2-1ATS in their past nine games as home underdogs.


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