New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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New York Jets vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images

Both teams are in after last-second victories, and will look to carry over momentum from last week. And while the Jets have covered nine of 10 against Cincy since 1992, they’re also on a 3-11 ATS slide as a road pup.

Point spread: Bengals opened as 7-point favorites; the total was 41. (Line updates and Matchup report)


Computer Prediction:
20.8-15.4 Bengals


Why the Jets can cover the spread

Quarterback Geno Smith is earning the respect of Jets fans, and rightfully so as he's showing his mettle under center and producing wins. Last week versus the Patriots he was 17 of 33 for 233 yards and a touchdown, while he gained 32 yards on six carries and ran for a third-quarter score that gave New York the lead.

Head to head, they have beaten the Bengals in nine of 10 games since 1992, according to the OddsShark.com historical NFL database.


Why the Bengals can cover the spread

The defense has too much heart and won't quit. Last week the Lions went 13 of 19 on third down and controlled the ball for 34:31, and yet the Cincinnati defense didn't wilt. The Bengals came up with key stops near the end, and that included preventing Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford from getting anything going on the Lions' final possession.


Smart Pick

As good as Cincinnati's defense has been, it's hard not to like what the Jets have been doing this season. They rank fourth overall in the NFL in allowing just 302.6 yards per game. New York is in after a monumental win over New England, a victory that moved the Jets within a game of first place in the AFC East.

The motivation will carry over.


Trends:

The Jets are 9-1 SU vs Bengals since 1992.

The Jets are 3-11 ATS in their past 14 games as road underdogs.

The Bengals played five straight UNDERs as home favorites.

Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games at home.

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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