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BCS Standings: Teams That Will Prove to Be Overrated

EVANSTON, IL - OCTOBER 05: Braxton Miller #5 of the Ohio State Buckeyes hands off to Carlos Hyde #34 against the Northwestern Wildcats at Ryan Field on October 5, 2013 in Evanston, Illinois. Ohio State defeated Northwestern 40-30. Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images
Matt FitzgeraldCorrespondent IIIOctober 22, 2013

There are plenty of bones to pick with the BCS standings every year, and the initial 2013 release from Week 9 is no different.

Between the seven crazy computer formulas and the general unpredictable nature of college football, there are bound to be teams projected in the wrong spots.

Some have the benefit of a strong tradition and the benefit of the doubt in human polls, along with easy schedules, while others have fully capitalized on that situation to the tune of an undefeated record.

The top three of Alabama, Florida State and Oregon is hard to debate, but let's take a look at other high-profile programs in the rankings who will prove to be overrated sooner or later.

Initial Week 9 BCS Rankings
RankingTeamBCS Avg.
1Alabama.984
2Florida State.935
3Oregon.932
4Ohio State.855
5Missouri.822
6Stanford.741
7Miami (FL).720
8Baylor.712
9Clemson.625
10Texas Tech.622
11Auburn.506
12UCLA.481
13LSU.455
14Virginia Tech.441
15Oklahoma.420
16Texas A&M.367
17Fresno State.338
18Northern Illinois.303
19Oklahoma State.269
20Louisville.256
21South Carolina.216
22Michigan.164
23UCF.139
24Nebraska.135
25Oregon State.104
Source: BCS

 

No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes

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Braxton Miller is enjoying a solid season, while completing over 69 percent of his passes, and adding to the perception that he's improving as a passer last Saturday against the Iowa Hawkeyes.

The junior signal-caller's numbers were stellar—22-of-27 for 222 yards and two touchdowns to go with 102 yards rushing.

Not to diminish what Miller did, but those passing stats were helped by this blown coverage:

It would also be interesting to see how Miller would fare against an opponent actually in the BCS Top 25. Ohio State has played no one that matches that description in 2013.

Ryan Shazier is also the only returning starter to the defense's front seven, and it shows.

Be it missed assignments, a lack of discipline or whatever the case, Ohio State thought it could match up man-to-man across the board against Iowa. On offense it could with superior skill players, but for much of the game on the other side of the ball, it couldn't.

The Hawkeyes bossed the Buckeyes around, blowing them off the line of scrimmage early and often.

Great teams finish games—the physically formidable Carlos Hyde did just that with his bruising running—but great teams shouldn't have had that much trouble with Iowa in the first place.

Ohio State's 19-game winning streak is impressive, but its shortcomings will surface soon.

It may even start at home against Penn State—who is fresh off a bye week—on Saturday in prime time. If not then, for sure if and when the Buckeyes are in a BCS bowl.

 

No. 7 Miami (FL) Hurricanes

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Football often comes down to who has the edge at quarterback, and the Hurricanes have an intriguing talent in Stephen Morris, but the senior is not consistent enough to avoid a pitfall at some point this season.

Morris almost cost the 'Canes their last game, a narrow escape at North Carolina in which he threw four interceptions.

That type of reckless play is a testament to Morris' inconsistency, and he has yet to even match up with the likes of Florida State, whose stock is higher than just about any in the nation.

Miami faces the Seminoles on Nov. 2, and that should put an end to any of its national title hopes.

The Hurricanes' signature win of the season is a home victory over a Florida Gators team that is no longer ranked and is imploding with two consecutive losses.

Credit the job Al Golden has done in restoring Miami to prominence, but a rise this high in the BCS is almost by default.

A strong running game keyed by Duke Johnson and an athletic defense has carried the 'Canes, but Morris' mistakes will do them in at some point—likely in Tallahassee's Doak Campbell Stadium.

 

No. 15 Oklahoma Sooners

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Speaking of season-defining wins, is it safe to say that Oklahoma's is a road triumph over Notre Dame?

The Irish aren't quite the force they were last season, which puts the Sooners in a difficult position for any more BCS leverage than they've been already gifted with.

In facing an undefeated, upstart Texas Tech Red Raiders team in Norman on Saturday, the talk of Bob Stoops' team being a contender for a BCS bid should be extinguished.

Stoops, for all his documented shortcomings in big games, has at least been able to own the Red River Rivalry against Texas on a consistent basis. That wasn't the case this season, when the Longhorns hooked the Sooners 36-20.

Oklahoma's defense is in the top 10 in the country in points per game allowed, but against who?

Among the teams the Sooners have beaten en route to having the nation's No. 1 pass defense, Notre Dame is the highest-scoring unit, currently 83rd with 25.4 points per game.

Texas Tech's high-octane aerial attack should continue rolling under the guidance of brilliant head coach Kliff Kingsbury. The fact that QB Blake Bell fell flat in the Longhorns game doesn't bode well for this next ranked showdown, either.

Three of the Sooners' last four games are on the road, including a trip to Waco to take on another amazing offense in Baylor. If Oklahoma truly is even a legitimate Top 15 team, it will win at least one of those two.

The problem is, Stoops and Co. will likely lose both.

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