NFL Odds Week 8: Favorites That Are Safe Bets to Cover

Brian MaziqueCorrespondent IIIOctober 21, 2013

NASHVILLE, TN - OCTOBER 06:  Running back Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs plays against the Tennessee Titans at LP Field on October 6, 2013 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)
Frederick Breedon/Getty Images

The Seattle Seahawks will show and prove in the Show-Me State on Monday night against the St. Louis Rams. Seattle comes in as an 11-point favorite, per Bovada, and it is a good bet to cover. 

The Rams will start Kellen Clemens in place of Sam Bradford at quarterback. Per Adam Schefter of, Bradford tore his ACL in the team’s 30-15 loss to the Carolina Panthers in Week 7. 

While Clemens is a veteran, he hasn’t started a game since 2011. Since then, he’s thrown a grand total of seven passes, and one of those was picked off. He isn’t exactly taking over a team stacked with productive skill players.

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The Rams offense ranks 18th in the NFL in passing and 29th in rushing. It will be difficult for Clemens to step in and do much better than Bradford had done before he went down.

Facing the Seahawks makes the possibility of an offensive explosion less likely. Seattle is ranked fourth in the NFL against the pass and 10th against the run. Furthermore, losing big is nothing new to St. Louis. Three of the Rams’ four losses have been by more than 11 points this season.

After Monday night, the Rams will have another defeat to add to that list.

Seattle will win, 24-10.


San Francisco Will Be the Latest Team to Feast on the Jacksonville Jaguars

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It is almost too easy to take the team favored to beat the Jaguars every week. Per Bovada, the Jags are 1-7 against the spread in their past eight games. Who’s to say that won’t become 1-8 after Sunday’s battle with the Niners in London?

The Jags don’t get the benefit of having a real home game here, though it is technically considered one on the schedule. With a record of 0-7, the Jags can use any break they can get. The team hasn’t been closer than 10 points to any opponent this season.

Per Bovada, the Niners are favored by 17, but the score could get even more out of hand.

The Jags have the 32nd-ranked run defense in the NFL. Heading into a game with the Niners, that isn’t a good look. There is almost no way this team can contain Frank Gore and the Niners’ run game. San Francisco is averaging 143.3 yards per game on the ground. The Niners are almost a lock to score at least 28 points against this woeful bunch.

Jacksonville's offense has been even worst than its defense. It is averaging just 10.8 points per game this season. It is hard to see a scenario where the Jags stay within 17 points.

The Niners will win, 34-10.


Kansas City Chiefs Will Come Through with Another Impressive Win

How many people still don’t believe in the NFL’s lone unbeaten team?

The Chiefs will host the defensive-minded Browns on Sunday in a game that figures to be a grind-it-out affair. The Browns defense ranks in the top 10 against the run and the pass, but their offense is at least a step behind their defense.

Over the past two weeks, the Browns have scored a grand total of 30 points in back-to-back losses. Their one-dimensional identity is what separates them from teams like the Chiefs.

Kansas City doesn’t put up a ton of points through the air, but its consistent run game led by running back Jamal Charles ensures the team can at least sustain drives. Charles is averaging 19 carries and just under a touchdown per game.

The Chiefs’ opportunistic defense and a rabid fanbase will make things tough on Brandon Weeden and the Browns. Weeden has struggled in the past two games. He has as many interceptions as touchdown passes (three).

Kansas City is tied with the Seahawks atop the NFL with 19 takeaways. Unless there is a positive shift in Weeden's play, or a decline in the Chiefs defense, Kansas City is set up to force the Browns quarterback into a few miscues.

Few teams have been better at capitalizing on opponent’s turnovers. Per Sporting Charts, the Chiefs have generated 63 points off their opponents' mistakes this season. 

Expect the Browns and Weeden to contribute to this number on Sunday in a game the Chiefs pull away in late. 

K.C. will win, 27-13.


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