Can Roger Win Wimbledon 2009?

A.Contributor IMay 23, 2009

LONDON - JULY 06:  Rafael Nadal of Spain poses with the trophy and Roger Federer of Switzerland poses with the runners up trophy after the men's singles Final match on day thirteen of the Wimbledon Lawn Tennis Championships at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club on July 6, 2008 in London, England.  (Photo by Pool/Getty Images)

Last year's Wimbledon final was epic, there's no doubt of that.

But for a Federer fan, it was horrible seeing the trophy dearest to his heart being taken from him. I'm surprised it wasn't then that he burst into tears on court, rather than at this past Australian open. 

I see Roger's main aim for this year being to regain his beloved Wimbledon title and nothing would please me more than to see that happen. There are, however, a number of factors I'd like to write about that could affect him.

1. Rafael Nadal: 

Can Roger beat him, or is he his Achilles heal? If we're honest, that Wimbledon final could have gone either way, but in the end it all came down to that one point at 7-7 that decided the entire match. For this reason i think Federer can beat Nadal if they were to meet in the final this year.

2. First Serve:

I believe the biggest reason he lost the Australian Open is because he couldn't buy a first serve. It was the reason he lost the first set, as that break in the first game of the match, where Roger double faulted on break point, turned out to be the only break of the set. If Roger can serve well this year I believe he has a very good chance.

3. Break Points:

Federer had a total of 13 break point chances at Wimbledon against Nadal and only took advantage of one of these. This has been the same story for every match between them. Until recently, in Madrid, Federer won 100% of break points, 2/2 against Nadal. If he can take advantage of the important points against Nadal in a final, I think he should have little problem in beating him.

4. 'Rogers Grey Face':

For those of you wondering what the hell I'm talking about, I'm referring to the fourth round match against Berdych at the Australian open. When he walked out on that court his face looked a grey pale colour; something clearly wasn't right.

Throughout the game he seemed sluggish, his movement was awful, and he kept hitting the ball short, most of the time on or just over the service line, allowing Berdych to hit so many big forehand winners.

I've never seen Federer ever play or look like that. At 3-3 in the third set my nerves were so bad my stomach felt dodgy. It looked like it could have been all over for him, but he fought back and eventually won the match. That day then became known between me and my dad, as 'Rogers Grey Face Day'. Fortunately it hasn't reared its ugly head since.

5. Unforced Errors:

An aggressive game like Federer's is bound to cause a few more unforced errors than the average game. As long as he doesn't loose the plot like he did in Indian Wells, Miami, and Rome he should be fine.

Well that's it folks. If there is something you think I haven't thought of please leave it in the comments.

This is my first article, so I hope you enjoyed it.