BCS Championship

Projected BCS Rankings 2013-14: Latest Predictions by Web Experts

CLEMSON, SC - OCTOBER 19:  Jameis Winston #5 of the Florida State Seminoles celebrates after throwing a touchdown with teammate Devonta Freeman #8 of the Florida State Seminoles during their game at Memorial Stadium on October 19, 2013 in Clemson, South Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images
Maxwell OgdenCorrespondent IIIOctober 20, 2013

Mere hours before the release of the 2013 BCS rankings, upsets were abundant throughout the college football landscape. Five of the Top 10 teams in the AP Poll and six of the Top 10 squads in the USA Today Coaches' Poll lost, and the postseason picture was altered in a major way.

The question is: What will the BCS rankings look like now that some of the most heavily favored teams in the nation have fallen?

The No. 3 Clemson Tigers, No. 6 LSU Tigers, No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies, No. 8 Louisville Cardinals, No. 9 UCLA Bruins, No. 11 South Carolina Gamecocks, No. 15 Georgia Bulldogs, No. 20 Washington Huskies and No. 22 Florida Gators all fell on Saturday. Each squad had some form of title dreams, and most were dashed with shocking losses.   

With a high number of ranked teams losing, the soon-to-be-released BCS rankings will look nothing like the previous AP and USA Today polls. Or so we think.

Multiple experts have weighed in on what could be, including BCS Guru Samuel Chi of Bleacher Report and Jerry Palm of CBS Sports. It's difficult to make a precise projection for the most heavily scrutinized computer system in professional sports, but both men have put together some compelling lists.

Here's how the experts believe it will shape up:

Samuel Chi's Projected BCS Rankings
RankTeamCoaches PollHarris PollComputersPvs
1Alabama1121
2Florida State3314
3Oregon2232
4Ohio State4485
5Missouri77413
6Baylor55610
7Stanford66511
8Clemson9873
9Miami (Fla.)891014
10UCLA111098
11LSU1212116
12Texas A&M1011137
13Texas Tech13131916
14South Carolina14141812
15Oklahoma17161517
16Auburn22191223
17Virginia Tech19201618
18Northern Illinois21211722
19Louisville1515259
20Fresno State18172319
http://www.bcsguru.com/

 

Jerry Palm's Projected BCS Rankings
BCS RANKTEAMBCS AVGHARRIS VOTESHARRIS PCTCOACHES VOTESCOACHES PCT
1Alabama0.984225890.995815450.9968
2Florida State0.933624280.933814060.9071
3Oregon0.933325010.961914850.9581
4Ohio State0.849722800.876913520.8723
5Missouri0.811420410.78510890.7026
6Baylor0.751421720.835412690.8187
7Stanford0.744119300.742311520.7432
8Miami (Fla.)0.735921450.82512340.7961
9Clemson0.669515500.596210110.6523
10Texas Tech0.593117600.67698820.569
11Auburn0.49417500.28858170.5271
12LSU0.489314540.55926850.4419
13UCLA0.487412590.48425860.3781
14Oklahoma0.469511850.45588360.5394
15Texas A&M0.422414590.56127430.4794
16Virginia Tech0.3728140.31313560.2297
17South Carolina0.337310510.40426110.3942
18Fresno State0.31169010.34654780.3084
19Oklahoma State0.29248600.33088470.5465
20Northern Illinois0.26174010.15422340.151
21Louisville0.255610460.39855710.3684
22Michigan0.1774150.15812680.1729
23UCF0.13832380.09071510.0974
24Nebraska0.13544140.15773850.2484
25Oregon State0.09421680.064910.0587
http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/rankings/bcs

 

Rising

COLUMBIA, MO - OCTOBER 19:  Defensive lineman Kony Ealy #47 of the Missouri Tigers reacts after a sack of quarterback Tyler Murphy #3 of the Florida Gator sduring the game at Faurot Field/Memorial Stadium on October 19, 2013 in Columbia, Missouri.  (Photo
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

In both Chi's and Palm's respective rankings, the team that saw the most significant rise was the Missouri Tigers. Previously ranked No. 14 in the AP and USA Today polls, both Chi and Palm have the Tigers at No. 5 in their projected BCS rankings.

Two consecutive blowouts of Top 25 SEC opponents will do that.

Missouri toppled then-No. 7 Georgia 41-26 in Athens on Oct. 12 and followed the win with a 36-17 victory over then-No. 22 Florida on Oct. 19. It won't get any easier with South Carolina up next, but Missouri is one of two remaining undefeated SEC programs.

The other is the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.

The other teams that made significant jumps are the Florida State Seminoles and Baylor Bears. Baylor is ranked No. 6 in both Chi and Palm's projected rankings, which comes just one week after it was No. 12 in both the AP and USA Today polls.

Florida State dominated then-No. 3 Clemson, using an explosive offense and smothering defense to win 51-14. That victory has both Palm and Chi convinced that the Seminoles will be ranked No. 2 in the BCS rankings.

Everything changed during Week 8, and no teams benefited more than Baylor, Florida State and Missouri.

 

Falling

NASHVILLE, TN - OCTOBER 19:  Punter Collin Barber #32 of the Georgia Bulldogs tries to recover the ball after a high snap during a game against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Vanderbilt Stadium on October 19, 2013 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Frederi
Frederick Breedon/Getty Images

As previously alluded to, numerous Top 25 teams from the AP, coaches and projected BCS rankings lost. This opened the door for programs to see significant rises in the rankings, but it also led to squads hitting a steep decline.

No team fell as hard as Georgia.  

The leniency that the rankings had with the Bulldogs was a representation of voters favoring the SEC—sometimes blindly. Despite going 4-2 in its first six games, Georgia was ranked No. 15 in the AP and No. 16 in the coaches poll.

Georgia proceeded to lose to Vanderbilt and is now on the outside looking into both Chi and Palm's Top 20 BCS rankings.

The other notable declining contender is Louisville, which lost to UCF on Oct. 18. Playing a schedule that's void of ranked opponents, Louisville eliminated any slim chance that it had at reaching the BCS National Championship Game.

All in all, it was a bad day for the favorites and a huge one for the hopefuls.

 

Follow me on Twitter.

Where can I comment?

Stay on your game

Latest news, insights, and forecasts on your teams across leagues.

Choose Teams
Get it on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Real-time news for your teams right on your mobile device.

Download
Copyright © 2017 Bleacher Report, Inc. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BleacherReport.com is part of Bleacher Report – Turner Sports Network, part of the Turner Sports and Entertainment Network. Certain photos copyright © 2017 Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Getty Images is strictly prohibited. AdChoices