Projected BCS Rankings 2013-14: Latest Predictions by Web Experts

Maxwell Ogden@MaxwellOgdenCorrespondent IIIOctober 20, 2013

CLEMSON, SC - OCTOBER 19:  Jameis Winston #5 of the Florida State Seminoles celebrates after throwing a touchdown with teammate Devonta Freeman #8 of the Florida State Seminoles during their game at Memorial Stadium on October 19, 2013 in Clemson, South Carolina.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Mere hours before the release of the 2013 BCS rankings, upsets were abundant throughout the college football landscape. Five of the Top 10 teams in the AP Poll and six of the Top 10 squads in the USA Today Coaches' Poll lost, and the postseason picture was altered in a major way.

The question is: What will the BCS rankings look like now that some of the most heavily favored teams in the nation have fallen?

The No. 3 Clemson Tigers, No. 6 LSU Tigers, No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies, No. 8 Louisville Cardinals, No. 9 UCLA Bruins, No. 11 South Carolina Gamecocks, No. 15 Georgia Bulldogs, No. 20 Washington Huskies and No. 22 Florida Gators all fell on Saturday. Each squad had some form of title dreams, and most were dashed with shocking losses.   

With a high number of ranked teams losing, the soon-to-be-released BCS rankings will look nothing like the previous AP and USA Today polls. Or so we think.

Multiple experts have weighed in on what could be, including BCS Guru Samuel Chi of Bleacher Report and Jerry Palm of CBS Sports. It's difficult to make a precise projection for the most heavily scrutinized computer system in professional sports, but both men have put together some compelling lists.

Here's how the experts believe it will shape up:

Samuel Chi's Projected BCS Rankings
RankTeamCoaches PollHarris PollComputersPvs
2Florida State3314
4Ohio State4485
9Miami (Fla.)891014
12Texas A&M1011137
13Texas Tech13131916
14South Carolina14141812
17Virginia Tech19201618
18Northern Illinois21211722
20Fresno State18172319


Jerry Palm's Projected BCS Rankings
2Florida State0.933624280.933814060.9071
4Ohio State0.849722800.876913520.8723
8Miami (Fla.)0.735921450.82512340.7961
10Texas Tech0.593117600.67698820.569
15Texas A&M0.422414590.56127430.4794
16Virginia Tech0.3728140.31313560.2297
17South Carolina0.337310510.40426110.3942
18Fresno State0.31169010.34654780.3084
19Oklahoma State0.29248600.33088470.5465
20Northern Illinois0.26174010.15422340.151
25Oregon State0.09421680.064910.0587



COLUMBIA, MO - OCTOBER 19:  Defensive lineman Kony Ealy #47 of the Missouri Tigers reacts after a sack of quarterback Tyler Murphy #3 of the Florida Gator sduring the game at Faurot Field/Memorial Stadium on October 19, 2013 in Columbia, Missouri.  (Photo
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

In both Chi's and Palm's respective rankings, the team that saw the most significant rise was the Missouri Tigers. Previously ranked No. 14 in the AP and USA Today polls, both Chi and Palm have the Tigers at No. 5 in their projected BCS rankings.

Two consecutive blowouts of Top 25 SEC opponents will do that.

Missouri toppled then-No. 7 Georgia 41-26 in Athens on Oct. 12 and followed the win with a 36-17 victory over then-No. 22 Florida on Oct. 19. It won't get any easier with South Carolina up next, but Missouri is one of two remaining undefeated SEC programs.

The other is the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.

The other teams that made significant jumps are the Florida State Seminoles and Baylor Bears. Baylor is ranked No. 6 in both Chi and Palm's projected rankings, which comes just one week after it was No. 12 in both the AP and USA Today polls.

Florida State dominated then-No. 3 Clemson, using an explosive offense and smothering defense to win 51-14. That victory has both Palm and Chi convinced that the Seminoles will be ranked No. 2 in the BCS rankings.

Everything changed during Week 8, and no teams benefited more than Baylor, Florida State and Missouri.



NASHVILLE, TN - OCTOBER 19:  Punter Collin Barber #32 of the Georgia Bulldogs tries to recover the ball after a high snap during a game against the Vanderbilt Commodores at Vanderbilt Stadium on October 19, 2013 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Frederi
Frederick Breedon/Getty Images

As previously alluded to, numerous Top 25 teams from the AP, coaches and projected BCS rankings lost. This opened the door for programs to see significant rises in the rankings, but it also led to squads hitting a steep decline.

No team fell as hard as Georgia.  

The leniency that the rankings had with the Bulldogs was a representation of voters favoring the SEC—sometimes blindly. Despite going 4-2 in its first six games, Georgia was ranked No. 15 in the AP and No. 16 in the coaches poll.

Georgia proceeded to lose to Vanderbilt and is now on the outside looking into both Chi and Palm's Top 20 BCS rankings.

The other notable declining contender is Louisville, which lost to UCF on Oct. 18. Playing a schedule that's void of ranked opponents, Louisville eliminated any slim chance that it had at reaching the BCS National Championship Game.

All in all, it was a bad day for the favorites and a huge one for the hopefuls.


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