BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How LSU's Loss to Ole Miss Will Impact Standings

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BCS Rankings Predictions 2013: How LSU's Loss to Ole Miss Will Impact Standings
Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

The LSU Tigers fell to the Ole Miss Rebels on a last-second field goal, and the first BCS rankings will look a lot different with the upset.

The 27-24 loss for the Tigers was a rough one.  Zach Mettenberger had been having a terrific season heading into Saturday, throwing for 1,890 yards, 15 touchdowns and just two interceptions.

Projected BCS Rankings
Rank Team Coaches Poll Harris Poll Computers Pvs
1 Alabama 1 1 2 1
2 Florida State 3 3 1 4
3 Oregon 2 2 3 2
4 Ohio State 4 4 8 5
5 Missouri 7 7 4 13
6 Baylor 5 5 6 10
7 Stanford 6 6 5 11
8 Clemson 9 8 7 3
9 Miami (Fla.) 8 9 10 14
10 UCLA 11 10 9 8
11 LSU 12 12 11 6
12 Texas A&M 10 11 13 7
13 Texas Tech 13 13 19 16
14 South Carolina 14 14 18 12
15 Oklahoma 17 16 15 17
16 Auburn 22 19 12 23
17 Virginia Tech 19 20 16 18
18 Northern Illinois 21 21 17 22
19 Louisville 15 15 25 9
20 Fresno State 18 17 23 19

B/R BCS Guru Samuel Chi

That quickly changed against Ole Miss.  Mettenberger threw for 274 yards and a touchdown, but also threw three interceptions in the loss.

The loss was a big one, but it wasn't the only one to happen in the Top 25 rankings.  According to ESPN Stats & Info, seven Top 25 teams fell through that game, with even more ranked teams likely falling later in the night:

The Top 10 had a number of losses on Saturday.  No. 6 LSU, No. 7 Texas A&M and No. 9 UCLA all lost inside of the Top 10, with No. 11 South Carolina falling as well.

Top 25 Teams to Lose At Time of LSU Loss
Team Opponent Score
No. 6 LSU Ole Miss 27-24
No. 7 Texas A&M No. 24 Auburn 45-41
No. 9 UCLA No. 13 Stanford 24-10
No. 11 South Carolina Tennessee 23-21
No. 15 Georgia Vanderbilt 31-27
No. 22 Florida No. 14 Missouri 36-17
No. 20 Washington Arizona State 53-24

ESPN.com

The Tigers are going to fall, but with how big of a mess Saturday was, they won't fall as far as they would have on a normal week.  Still, the odds of them staying in the Top 10 are small, especially with how well some other teams played.

Stacy Revere/Getty Images

The No. 12 Baylor Bears won in a dominating performance once again this week, beating down Iowa State in a 71-7 victory to stay undefeated.  Meanwhile, without starting quarterback James Franklin, No. 14 Missouri moved to 7-0 with a big 36-17 win over No. 22 Florida.

Where will LSU stand in the initial BCS rankings?

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What is going to hurt LSU so much in the initial BCS rankings is the fact that it now has two in-conference losses through eight games.  The Tigers are a talented team, but their biggest wins haven't been pretty.  They won 17-6 over Florida and 37-27 over TCU, but neither was convincing.  

The defense hasn't looked as intimidating this season, likely due to the fact that so many players went to the NFL.  After being such an intimidating force in 2012, the defense has given up at least 20 points in five of its eight games, as well as giving up 44 points to Georgia back in September.

With two losses already and upcoming games against Alabama and Texas A&M, things aren't looking good for the Tigers.  They're going to drop out of the Top 10 in the initial BCS rankings, and we could see them fall even further by the end of the season.

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