Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
Diego Sanchez (+500)
Gilbert Melendez (-550)
In my opinion, this is the best UFC 166 fight to bet on.
Don't get me wrong, Gilbert Melendez is better than Diego Sanchez. Not by a little, either. Melendez is, like, totally way better at this whole fighting thing.
The thing is, Diego Sanchez has by far the most judge-friendly fighting style in the UFC. With a steely chin, he is capable of eating hands before landing a big shot of his own. With a solid wrestling background, he is capable of scoring points with do-nothing takedowns.
That formula is the reason his UFC record is still solid on paper, and was directly responsible for the controversial decision victories he took from Takanori Gomi and Martin Kampmann.
Melendez has stopping power both standing and on the ground, but a finish is highly unlikely. This one is almost certainly going to the judges (but not for lack of trying) and that is where Sanchez is most dangerous. If he can scrap his way into two takedowns across two rounds, he could very easily take this fight with a 29-28 unanimous decision.
While Sanchez deserves to be the underdog here, he is so good at taking bad decisions that these lines that reach as deep as -1111 are difficult to pass up.
Prediction: Gilbert Melendez
Worth Betting on?: Yes