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NFL Odds Week 7: Underdogs Sure to Cover the Spread

Oct 3, 2013; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Browns cornerback Joe Haden (23) takes the field before a game against the Buffalo Bills at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Schwane-USA TODAY Sports
Ron Schwane-USA TODAY Sports
Jesse ReedCorrespondent IOctober 18, 2013

There's nothing more thrilling for bettors than when underdogs pull off an upset—especially when all odds are against it happening. 

Last weekend, the St. Louis Rams went into Houston and dismantled the dysfunctional Texans, and those who bet on the Rams for the upset won a tidy sum of money. 

There are some intriguing NFL matchups on the schedule for Week 7, too, that feature underdogs with a great chance of beating the spread—if not winning the game outright. 

Here's a look at the current odds for every game on the schedule, via Covers, followed by a closer look at three underdogs sure to cover the spread.

Week 7 NFL Odds
AwayHomeSpread
St. Louis RamsCarolina PanthersCAR (-6.5)
Cincinnati BengalsDetroit LionsDET (-2.5)
Buffalo BillsMiami DolphinsMIA (-7)
San Diego ChargersJacksonville JaguarsJAX (+7.5)
Tampa Bay BuccaneersAtlanta FalconsATL (-7)
Chicago BearsWashington RedskinsWAS (+1)
New England PatriotsNew York JetsNYJ (+3.5)
Dallas CowboysPhiladelphia EaglesPHI (-2.5)
San Francisco 49ersTennessee TitansTEN (+4)
Houston TexansKansas City ChiefsKC (-6.5)
Cleveland BrownsGreen Bay PackersGB (-10)
Baltimore RavensPittsburgh SteelersPIT (-1)
Denver BroncosIndianapolis ColtsIND (+6.5)
Minnesota VikingsNew York GiantsNYG (-3.5)
Covers.com

 

St. Louis vs. Carolina (-6.5)

HOUSTON, TX - OCTOBER 13:  Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams celebrates a third quarter touchdown pass against the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on October 13, 2013 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)
Scott Halleran/Getty Images

The Panthers feature one of the league's top pass defenses, but then again, so did Houston before the Rams cut through the Texans like a hot knife through butter last Sunday.

Sam Bradford has thrown six touchdown passes in his last two games, and rookie running back Zac Stacy has been the catalyst for his improved play. Stacy has rushed for 157 yards on 32 carries (4.9 yards per carry) since taking over for Daryl Richardson as the team's starting running back. 

Carolina's defense has been solid against the run this year, but the Minnesota Vikings had success running the ball last weekend (when they actually did run the ball), averaging 5.8 yards per carry.

On the other side, Carolina's offense isn't tailor-made to dominate St. Louis' defense. 

Cam Newton doesn't have a viable threat in the middle of the field to take advantage of St. Louis' safeties. He will be pressured relentlessly by Chris Long and Robert Quinn, who will force him into at least one costly interception. 

 

Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta (-7)

Given the way Atlanta has lost its last three games, combined with the devastating injuries this team has sustained on both sides of the ball, it's insane to think the Falcons are favored by a touchdown this Sunday.

Even against the winless Buccaneers.

ATLANTA, GA - OCTOBER 07: Defensive end Sheldon Richardson #91 of the New York Jets sacks quarterback Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons during their game at the Georgia Dome on October 7, 2013 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Falcons will be without Steven Jackson and Julio Jones, and Matt Ryan has looked extraordinarily average of late playing behind a porous offensive line. The New York Jets' front seven absolutely demolished Atlanta's offensive line in the team's last game, sacking Ryan twice and pressuring him countless other times. 

Rookie Mike Glennon has started to look like he knows what to do on Sundays, throwing three touchdown passes in his first two starts. He's gotten receiver Vincent Jackson involved, and the veteran playmaker exploded with nine catches for 114 yards and two touchdowns last weekend.

Oct 13, 2013; Tampa, FL, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Mike Glennon (left) greets wide receiver Vincent Jackson (right) after scoring a touchdown during the second quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit:
Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

If second-year running back Doug Martin can find a rhythm, then Tampa Bay will not only cover the spread, but they will also win the game. 

 

Cleveland vs. Green Bay (-10)

When healthy, the Packers feature one of the NFL's most dangerous teams. 

Unfortunately, this team is far from healthy. 

Randall Cobb broke his leg last weekend, and he'll miss at least six weeks after he was placed on IR with a designation to return, as noted by Tom Silverstein of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. James Jones is listed as questionable on the team's official injury report, while Brad Jones, Clay Matthews, Nick Perry and James Starks are all out. 

Yes, Brandon Weeden is starting, and yes, he stinks.

CLEVELAND, OH - OCTOBER 3: Defensive end Armonty Bryant #95 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates after sacking quarterback Jeff Tuel #8 of the Buffalo Bills during the second half at FirstEnergy Stadium on October 3, 2013 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Browns defe
Jason Miller/Getty Images

That said, Cleveland's defense is good enough to keep the Browns in this game, and as bad as Weeden can be, he also has a knack for making big plays to his speedy receivers and athletic tight end. 

The Browns won't likely win, but this team will easily cover the 10-point spread. 

 

Follow me on Twitter @JesseReed78 

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