Consensus: OVER (5-3)
Even though he's blanked as a runner, Kap has had a pair of touchdowns in two of the last three wins. Not to mention, nobody has a formula to stop Vernon Davis.
Kap is starting to get into his groove, but the Titans have been strong against the pass this season and held the Seattle Seahawks to just 20 points on the road last week. Look for Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman to keep it on the ground and control the tempo of the game. It’s worked for three weeks now, why stop?
Through six weeks, the Titans have allowed an average of 19.2 points per game, with only one quarterback throwing for more than one touchdown.
While Kaepernick has improved over the last few weeks, throwing five touchdowns in three weeks, he has struggled against top-10 scoring defenses. In two games against such defenses, Kaepernick has thrown no touchdowns, four interceptions and averaged 139 yards passing and 54 yards rushing.
The Titans defense is playing inspired football right now, but it struggled to contain Russell Wilson last week. Kaepernick will mix in a rushing touchdown and a passing touchdown.
It will be important for Kaepernick to hit some of his receivers, as the Titans will do everything they can to take Vernon Davis away. Look for Anquan Boldin and, perhaps, Vance McDonald to have good days.
I definitely see Kaepernick going over on this one. He'll likely find Davis at least once, and when Tennessee tries its best to limit Davis, Boldin could be open for another score. I wouldn't be surprised to see McDonald haul in a red-zone catch as well.
The Titans have a top-10 passing defense, but Kaepernick is starting to find his groove again these past three weeks. After Tennessee coach Mike Munchak's comments on Kap's rushing this season, per Eric Branch of the San Francisco Chronicle, maybe he's due for a solid performance on the ground.
My Take: UNDER
I expect the 49ers to have two offensive touchdowns in this game, and it wouldn't be at all surprising if Kaepernick played a direct role in both scoring plays. However, because I expect Frank Gore to have one rushing score, I'm going with the under.
Through six games, the Titans have allowed six passing touchdowns. Kaepernick has two passing touchdowns in two road games in 2013. So, I'll put him down for one passing score.
Kap still hasn't rushed for a touchdown this season. The 49ers aren't featuring many read-option plays these days, so it'll likely be up to Kap to scramble for his first rushing score.
Maybe this is the week he has a breathtaking run for a touchdown. But until he gets one on the ground, I'll avoid predicting he'll get one.