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San Francisco 49ers vs. Tennessee Titans: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - OCTOBER 13:  Colin Kaepernick #7 congratulates Vernon Davis #85 of the San Francisco 49ers after he scored a touchdown at Candlestick Park on October 13, 2013 in San Francisco, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images
OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistOctober 16, 2013

San Francisco has developed into a pretty good road team to bet on recently, going 5-1 ATS in its last six games as an away favorite.

This week, the Niners are favored as they hit Nashville to take on the Titans, who have pulverized the 49ers at the betting window over the years.

 

Point Spread

49ers opened as six-point favorites; the total was 38.5. (Line updates and Matchup report)

 

Computer Prediction

23.7-21.5 49ers


Why the Niners Can Cover the Spread

San Fran stumbled in those back-to-back losses to Seattle and Indy but has now won its last three games by an average score of 33-11. And just like that, the Niners have covered three spreads.

San Francisco ranks fourth in the league in rushing and ninth in total defense, even though that D has been without LB Aldon Smith the last three games.

They are 5-1 ATS as a road favorite lately.

 

Why the Titans Can Cover the Spread

Tennessee is already 4-1-1 ATS this season, 3-1 ATS when getting points as an underdog. The Titans defense ranks 10th overall, and its 13 take-aways have helped the team post a plus-eight turnover differential. Also, while 3-3 SU, Tennessee could have beaten both Houston and Kansas City. Now, if they can just get QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to stop throwing interceptions.

History does not necessarily repeat itself, but when the Titans are 6-0-1 ATS against San Francisco since 1987, according to OddsShark.com, it gets the attention of public bettors.

 

Smart Pick

OddsShark's NFL predictor computer is calling for the 49ers to win but for the Titans to keep it close enough to cover. San Francisco has looked good recently, but those losses to the Seahawks and Colts stick in the mind. Meanwhile, Tennessee has been in every game this year, sticking around just enough to cash in. Go with the computer here and take the home dog.

 

Trends

Titans 6-0-1 ATS in seven games vs. 49ers since 1987.

49ers 5-1 ATS past six as road favorite.

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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