New England Patriots vs. New York Jets: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
In what has always been a contentious rivalry, the New England Patriots roll in on a 12-2 ATS streak when visiting the New York Jets. On the flip side, the Pats are in a 1-4-1 ATS rut when laying points on the road.
The Patriots opened as six-point favorites; the total was 43.5. (Line updates and Matchup report)
Why the Patriots Can Cover the Spread
Has anyone else taken notice that the Patriots improved to 5-1 while handing the Saints their first loss of the season last Sunday? And New England is getting it done despite playing all season without their top five pass-catchers from last year. Further, Bill Belichick gets the coaching nod over Rex Ryan.
Why the Jets Can Cover the Spread
The Jets have been inconsistent all season, and yet they're still 3-3 on the year and would pull within one game of the Pats with a win. This game will provide motivation to prepare for a three-week run that also includes games against the Bengals and Saints. It's safe to call this a must-win.
The Pats are just 1-4-1 ATS, however, in six recent games as road chalk, according to OddsShark.com’s NFL database.
While the Patriots' five wins include victories over these same Jets, the Falcons and the Saints, New York's three wins came against teams that have combined for a 3-13 record: Tampa Bay (0-5), Buffalo (2-4) and Atlanta (1-4). It's hard to argue the revenge factor when the Pats are clearly better.
OVER is 7-1 past eight meetings
Pats 1-4-1 ATS past six games as road favorite
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