Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistOctober 16, 2013

ARLINGTON, TX - DECEMBER 02:  Running back Bryce Brown #34 of the Philadelphia Eagles carries the ball against the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium on December 2, 2012 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

The over is 6-1 in Philly's last seven games against NFC East divisional foes, and this week's game at the Link against Dallas “features” the 30th- and 32nd-ranked defenses in the league. The scoreboard operator might want to check his machine before Sunday's game, just to make sure everything works.


Point Spread

Eagles opened as 1.5-point favorites; the total was 56. (Line updates and Matchup report)


Computer Prediction 

31.0-24.2 Cowboys


Why the Cowboys Can Cover the Spread

Dallas is already 5-1 ATS this season, so they're beating expectations on a weekly basis. The Cowboys also swept the season series from Philly last year, scoring 38 points both games, and have won six of the last nine in the rivalry.

The Pokes have been in every game this season, and now they get to go up against an Eagles defense that ranks dead last in the league overall and 31st vs. the pass.


Why the Eagles Can Cover the Spread

Mike who? With Vick out with a pulled hamstring second-year pro Nick Foles threw two fourth-quarter touchdowns to beat the Giants two weeks ago, then threw three more to beat the Bucs last week, two on long, beautiful, accurate tosses. On top of that, Philly leads the league in rushing at 179 yards per game.

Now they'll go up against a Dallas defense that ranks 30th overall, 29th vs. the pass and is without DE DeMarcus Ware. They are 4-1 ATS in five recent battles with Dallas.


Smart Pick

The OddsShark computer predicts the Cowboys to win by a touchdown in a high-scoring affair, but one that comes in just under the posted total. Dallas has looked good for most of this season, other than a few hiccups, but the Cowboys are also a little banged up and will probably be without not only Ware, but RB DeMarco Murray too.

The Eagles, meanwhile, will be glad to be home, after playing three straight games on the road. Take Philly.


Eagles are 4-1 ATS past five vs. Cowboys.

OVER is 6-1 past seven Eagles divisional games; Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last five games at home.


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