Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistOctober 16, 2013

CINCINNATI, OH - DECEMBER 6: Cedric Benson #32 of the Cincinnati Bengals breaks free from Anthony Henry #32 of the Detroit Lions in their NFL game at Paul Brown Stadium December 6, 2009 in Cincinnati, Ohio.    (Photo by John Sommers II/Getty Images)
John Sommers II/Getty Images

In this series, the Cincinnati Bengals are on a 7-1 run both on the field and at the window, dating back 30 years, to 1983. And bettors have taken notice of the fact the over is 7-1 when the Lions have been favored in Motown.

Point spread: Lions opened as 3-point favorites; the total was 47. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction: 24.0-22.1 Lions

Why the Bengals can cover the spread

The Bengals’ offense saw the re-emergence of receiver A.J. Green last week, as he turned in his second 100-yard game of the season. Since a 162-yard, two-touchdown performance against Chicago in Week 1, Green had been silent. He had six catches for 103 yards against the Bills. Another big week for him would help.

They have failed to cover against Detroit just once in eight tries dating to 1983, according to the NFL database.

Why the Lions can cover the spread

Normally an offensive-minded team, Detroit played consistent on defense last week vs. Cleveland, limiting the Browns from gaining big chunks of yardage. The Lions stifled the Browns in the second half for no points while forcing plenty of mistakes. At home, that defense is trouble for Cincy.

Smart Pick

As good as the Lions have been, don't overlook what the Bengals have been doing. Though this will be their second straight road game after last week's trip to Buffalo, and third game away from home in four weeks, keep in mind they beat the Packers, Patriots and the surprising Bills over a four-week span.


OVER is 7-1 in past eight Lions home games when favored

Bengals are 7-1 SU & ATS vs Lions since 1983

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