Chicago Bears vs. Washington Redskins: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction ColumnistOctober 16, 2013

ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 13:  Robert Griffin III #10 of the Washington Redskins throws a pass in the first quarter of a game against the Dallas Cowboys on at AT&T Stadium October 13, 2013 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

The OVER is 8-1 in Chicago's last nine road games and this week the Bears are on the road against a Washington team that's allowing four touchdowns per game this season. However, the Redskins have dominated the Bears over the years.


Point spread: Redskins opened as 1.5-point favorites; the total was 50. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction:
26.1-17.7 Bears

Why the Bears can cover the spread

Chicago recovered from two straight losses to beat the Giants last Thursday 27-21, so they're working on a couple extra days off. And after picking off Eli Manning three times—although that hasn't been too difficult to do this year—the Bears defense ranks second in the league with 17 takeaways.

Also, Chicago has only covered the spread once this year, but it came in a solid performance on the road at a tough place to play, Heinz Field in Pittsburgh.

Why the Redskins can cover the spread

Washington ranks fourth in total offense at almost 400 yards per game and 10th in rushing at 128 YPG. Now, some of that was compiled playing catch-up against the Eagles and Packers, but the 'Skins can still move the ball. Alfred Morris bolted for a 45-yard score Sunday night against Dallas, and RG III looked as mobile as he has all season.

Plus, at 1-4 (both SU and ATS), Washington might be playing with a sense of desperation. They are 10-2 SU in their past 12 games vs. Chicago.

Smart Pick

The OddsShark computer is calling for the Bears to win this game by about a touchdown, and for the game to stay UNDER its total. Washington is going through a bit of a sophomore slump with Griffin, as defenses develop schemes to limit him. Chicago may have lost three in a row in this series, but that should end Sunday. Take the Bears.


Bears are 2-10 SU past 12 games vs. Washington

Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago


Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.