Week 6 was as unpredictable as ever—as far as NFL action goes. However, the latest lines and spreads for Week 7 appear at face value to be much easier.
At about the midway point of the season teams have made themselves all but fully known, meaning spreads become easier to predict.
With that in mind, let's get right into the action in what should be a very successful week for all, given that fans follow their guts. Here are predictions against the spread in each contest followed by this week's can't-miss picks.
Green Bay (-10) Over Cleveland
The feel-good story for the Cleveland Browns in 2013 is now over with Brandon Weeden back under center and no running game to speak of at the moment.
Last week Weeden took the field against a bottom-10 Detroit defense and managed 292 yards, but threw a pair of touchdowns and interceptions in a 31-17 loss.
The defense, which was once the strong point of the team, gave up over 350 total yards and four passing touchdowns to an offense similar to what the Browns will be seeing this week against Green Bay.
Packers WR James Jones sprained his PCL vs. Ravens but might be able to play Sunday vs. Clev. Team will make decision later this week.— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 14, 2013
While that sounds like an advantage for Cleveland, at home Rodgers will still find a way to pick apart a shaky Browns defense.
Kansas City (-6) Over Houston
What more needs to be said about the Houston Texans?
As a team (but mostly Matt Schaub), Houston has now thrown an interception that has not been returned for a touchdown in five straight games. Schaub was the owner of the streak for four contests until succumbing to an injury last week, but backup T.J. Yates picked up where Schaub left off.
Now Schaub is a late-week decision at best per Tania Ganguli of ESPN.
Even if Schaub somehow plays, his date with the NFL's No. 5 overall defense is not exactly a favorable matchup.
The Chiefs have not only failed to lose a game yet this season, they have also yet to surrender 20 points in a game.
Right now the Chiefs are clicking on all cylinders while the Texans suffer from bad coaching, quarterbacking and more. This one is too easy.
Denver (-6.5) Over Indianapolis
One of the 2013 season's marquee games, Peyton Manning returns to Indianapolis on Sunday Night Football in a rather simple one to predict.
Manning and Co. field the NFL's best offense at 476 yards per game, with over 360 of said yards coming through the aerial assault led by the veteran quarterback.
As if things were not in Denver's favor enough, Colts owner Jim Irsay had some questionable comments about Manning recently per Jarrett Bell of USA Today, which Manning could easily use as motivation:
"We've changed our model a little bit, because we wanted more than one of these," Irsay says, flicking up his right hand to show his Super Bowl XLI championship ring.
"(Tom) Brady never had consistent numbers, but he has three of these," Irsay adds. "Pittsburgh had two, the Giants had two, Baltimore had two and we had one. That leaves you frustrated.
"You make the playoffs 11 times, and you're out in the first round seven out of 11 times. You love to have the Star Wars numbers from Peyton and Marvin (Harrison) and Reggie (Wayne). Mostly, you love this."
NFL fans know Manning will take the comments to heart. They also know it's bad news for Indianapolis come Sunday. While the Colts allow just 205.7 passing yards per game, they have yet to face a quarterback who can even sniff Manning's level of play.
It won't be an issue for Colts quarterback Andrew Luck to pass on the NFL's worst pass defense, but Manning will have little issue moving the ball as well. All due respect to the youngster, but it is ill-advised to bet against Manning any week of the year, but especially this Sunday.
Follow B/R's Chris Roling on Twitter for more news and analysis @Chris_Roling
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