Auburn Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

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Auburn Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
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Auburn has lost eight straight as a road dog, and Texas A&M has won eight straight as a home favorite of 10 or more points. Johnny Football killed the Tigers last year, but Auburn is a tougher cat in 2013, hence the smaller point spread.

Point spread: Texas A&M opened as 12-point favorites, exactly the margin predicted by the computer; the total was 70 early in the week. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction: 47-35 Texas A&M (from OddsShark.com college picks computer)

 

Why Auburn can cover the spread

Revenge will be the driving force for the Tigers in this one, as those who remember quarterback Johnny Manziel coming to Jordan-Hare Stadium and leading A&M to a 63-21 slaughter—tying the worst home loss in Auburn history—will be out to avenge the setback.

The newly ranked Tigers are better this season but have lost eight in a row as a road dog.

 

Why Texas A&M can cover the spread

Well, is there ever another reason other than Manziel?

Last season in that game at Auburn, he tallied more than 300 total yards with five touchdowns. And as much as experts expected regression with this team, it's 5-1 and ranked seventh in the nation.

They're pretty darned good once again, and they have won eight straight at home laying double digits.

 

Smart Pick

Manziel is the second-leading passer in the nation in completion percentage and has been moving his offense effectively. Auburn's defensive attack against the pass has been a tad inconsistent and is poised to get torched here.

Against the 88th-ranked stop unit against passing yards, Manziel has another big day.

 

Trends:

Auburn 0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS past eight as road underdog

Aggies 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS past eight as double-digit home chalk

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Sharkfollow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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