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Friday, October 18, 7:30 p.m. BST at Allianz Riviera
Having started the season in relatively sound form, OGC Nice have seemingly struggled to find their way in recent weeks. The sixth-place side suffered defeats to Nantes and Toulouse in the past three weeks, but with a home record that still shows they're undefeated, things won't be easy for fourth-place Marseille this weekend.
Marseille were beaten 2-1 by Paris Saint-Germain in their most recent match—they were perhaps unlucky not to take a point away from that fixture. They suffered a similar scoreline in their home loss to AS Monaco, but Nice similarly have an away record that says they, too, are undefeated.
The question is whether Marseille can show the same solidity against top-class opposition on the road as they have against the likes of Lorient and Bastia this year.
At home, Nice have only conceded three goals this year, while Marseille have only conceded two on the road. As a result, it's hard to see the goals flowing in this one, and I think we're likely to see a pretty tight and cagey affair—something which will be reflected in the final scoreline.
The difference-maker for me is the fact that Marseille have a huge Champions League match to focus on in less than a week. They cannot afford to lose that fixture if they want to keep their European dream alive, and they may be willing to sacrifice some of their focus for this match in order to do just that.
Their defense should keep them in it, but perhaps not enough to get all three points on the night.
Prediction: OGC Nice 1-0 Olympique Marseille
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