NFL Predictions Week 6: High-Scoring Affairs You Won't Want to Miss
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The NFL has become more of a high-scoring league in recent years, with plenty of exciting games featuring spectacular statistics for star players.
According to Pro Football Reference, average scoring has gone from as low as 18.7 points per game with under 300 average yards of total offense for the average team in 1992 to the current average of over 23 points per game with over 350 yards of offense per game for the average NFL team in 2013.
Week 6 will bring another batch of matchups with big point totals and must-watch moments. Here are the four games I will be watching most closely for some serious fireworks.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos
It's no surprise that the Broncos would be included in an article about predicting the highest scoring teams in the NFL in any given week. Especially when they're facing the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Quarterbacks who face the Jaguars have an QB Rating of 103.9 so far this season, which is among the 10 highest passer rating against numbers in the league. That should suit Peyton Manning just fine as he continues his quest to have the best statistical season in NFL history from the quarterback position.
But just a few spots behind the Jaguars in those same rankings are the Denver Broncos, who have been similarly woeful against the pass this season. This has all the makings of a high-scoring affair.
Add in the fact that Jacksonville with be making the injury-mandated move from Blaine Gabbert to the improved passing of Chad Henne, and this one could get out of hand with the scoring. That impact was felt immediately when Henne replaced the injured Gabbert during Week 5.
Chad Henne's first pass, a 39-yard completion to Justin Blackmon. #Jaguars— Jacksonville Jaguars (@jaguars) October 6, 2013
Ultimately Denver will win, but Jacksonville is going to find the end zone enough to keep it mildly interesting.
Final Score Prediction: Denver 56, Jacksonville 31
St. Louis Rams at Houston Texans
When two of the top seven teams in points allowed take the field against one another, you can be sure there will be plenty of scoring.
For the Rams, their issues on defense have come due to an inability to defend the pass. St. Louis gives up 8.8 yards per attempt defensively, which ranks fifth in the NFL. To put that into even better perspective, Aaron Rodgers ranks third in the NFL with a yards per attempt number of 8.8.
So while the Rams are busy turning every quarterback into Aaron Rodgers, the Texans are busy turning every defensive back into Deion Sanders. Matt Schaub has thrown an interception that was returned for a touchdown in each of his previous four games, prompting a local restaurant to feature a Matt Schaub special allowing customers to "pick six" toppings but "pay dearly" for it.
Check out a video of the Mike and Mike show on ESPN as they discuss the burger and what Schaub's reaction should be.
When these two teams meet on the field, it will be a perfect storm of scoring opportunities. A bad defense against a clumsy offense should lead to a very entertaining game.
Final Score Prediction: Houston 41, St. Louis 34
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys are fresh off of a devastating late loss to the undefeated Denver Broncos in which Tony Romo threw for over 500 yards and five touchdowns only to lose the game with an interception in the final moments.
But lost in the narratives that Romo somehow choked the game away is the fact that Monte Kiffin's Dallas defense allowed 51 points to the Denver Broncos in a home game at AT&T Stadium.
That same defense will welcome Robert Griffin III and the Redskins into town for Week 6, and Griffin is no stranger to putting up huge point totals in the state of Texas. He put that on display during his senior season at Baylor by scoring a combined 14 touchdowns via the air and ground over the first three games of the season with only 12 incomplete passes over that span of games.
Griffin isn't off to quite as hot of a start in 2013, but he'll have a great opportunity to rebound against the Cowboys.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas 38, Washington 37
Indianapolis Colts at San Diego Chargers
The Chargers have given up the sixth-most yards per game in the NFL this season and have been unable to create turnovers to give the ball back to their offense.
On the other hand, the San Diego offense has gained the fifth-most yards per game in the league this year, but has at times struggled to finish drives for touchdowns, settling for field goals or handing the ball over on turnovers.
The numbers for the Indianapolis defense look more impressive, but those facts are skewed by a pair of shutdown performances against the Jaguars and 49ers. In their other three games, they've allowed just under 400 yards per contest while surrendering 23 points per game as well.
I have a feeling that the Chargers have a chance to win this game if they can limit their turnovers, but either way this won't be a defensive struggle.
Final Score Prediction: San Diego 35, Indianapolis 31
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