NFL Predictions Week 6: Projecting Weekend's Highest-Scoring Games

Tyler BrookeSenior Analyst IIOctober 11, 2013

NEW ORLEANS, LA - SEPTEMBER 30:  Jimmy Graham #80 of the New Orleans Saints scores a touchdown over  Chris Clemons #30 of the Miami Dolphins at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on September 30, 2013 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)
Chris Graythen/Getty Images

Week 6 will provide some exciting matchups in the NFL, but it will also feature some real shootouts with bad defenses going head-to-head.

Obviously, the biggest shootout last week was the Denver Broncos and Dallas Cowboys.  The two teams combined for 99 points, and Peyton Manning and Tony Romo combined for over 900 yards and 10 total touchdowns.

While it's unlikely that any of this week's games will produce that many points, a few matchups could be high-scoring affairs in Week 6.  


Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-4)

DENVER, CO - SEPTEMBER 29:  Head coach Chip Kelly of the Philadelphia Eagles walks off of the field after a loss to the Denver Broncos at Sports Authority Field Field at Mile High on September 29, 2013 in Denver, Colorado.  (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty
Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

Date: Sunday, Oct. 13

Time: 1:00 p.m. ET

TV: Fox

Prediction: 27-24, Eagles

The Eagles have a very exciting offense under Chip Kelly.  They're able to spread the field and quickly run plays, giving them a chance to break off big runs and passes at any moment.

Through the first five weeks of the season, the Eagles have the league's best rushing attack, averaging 186.6 rushing yards per game.  LeSean McCoy is having a very strong season, rushing for 514 yards and three touchdowns.  The Eagles are putting up 27 points per game, the eighth-most in the NFL.

TAMPA, FL - SEPTEMBER 29: Quarterback Mike Glennon #8 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers sets to pass against the Arizona Cardinals September 29, 2013 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Arizona won 13 - 10. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

On defense, things aren't nearly as pretty.  They're giving up 434 yards and 31.8 points per game, some of the worst marks in the NFL.  While their offense quickly runs plays, it gives opposing offenses more time to put up points of their own.

The Buccaneers have a new quarterback in Mike Glennon. While he didn't have the best first game, he should be able to put up points against the struggling Eagles defense.  The Bucs also have Doug Martin in the backfield, and he's due for a big game after averaging just 3.4 yards per carry through their first four games.

The Eagles shouldn't have a problem putting up points, and the Bucs should be able to do the same going up against that defense.  Look for Glennon to have a breakout game through the air and for this to be a surprising shootout.


New Orleans Saints (5-0) at New England Patriots (4-1)

Date: Sunday, Oct. 13

Time: 4:25 p.m. ET

TV: Fox

Prediction: 35-20, Saints

With two of the best quarterbacks of this generation, you can definitely expect plenty of points in this exciting matchup.

Drew Brees has been lighting up opposing defenses this year, as expected.  He's already thrown for 1,722 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions so far this season.  According to Football Outsiders, Brees has the fourth-highest DVOA among starting quarterbacks, behind Peyton Manning, Philip Rivers and Matt Ryan.

The big weapon for the Saints so far this season has been Jimmy Graham, who is on pace to shatter pretty much every record for a tight end.  He already has 37 receptions for 593 yards and six touchdowns this season.

At this rate, Graham is on pace for 118 receptions, 1,897 yards and 19 touchdowns, all of which would be records.

Meanwhile, the New England Patriots are finally starting to get their weapons back on offense.  Tom Brady has started to establish a connection with the younger receivers, especially Kenbrell Thompkins, but they aren't at the same level as Danny Amendola or Rob Gronkowski.

Amendola was finally able to return to the lineup this past week.  He only had four receptions for 55 yards, but the Patriots were also playing in the pouring rain, and the field conditions were less than ideal.

To make things even better, it appears Brady might finally be getting Gronkowski back this week.  According to Field Yates of ESPN, the Patriots are optimistic Gronk will make his season debut.

With Brees on a tear right now and Brady getting some of his big weapons back, you can expect plenty of touchdowns in this one.  Brady is going to want to break in his best weapons, while Brees is going to air it out like he always does.


Washington Redskins (1-3) at Dallas Cowboys (2-3)

OAKLAND, CA - SEPTEMBER 29:  Robert Griffin III #10 of the Washington Redskins talks to his team in the huddle during their game against the Oakland Raiders at Coliseum on September 29, 2013 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Date: Saturday, Oct. 13

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET


Prediction: 30-24, Redskins

The NFC East is wide open right now, and you can bet that both of these teams will be playing aggressively in order to stay in the division race.

Both quarterbacks have the potential to put up nice numbers.  Robert Griffin III, as bad as he looked at the beginning of the season, continues to look more comfortable on his knee each and every game.  He's responding more effectively to pressure, throwing off of his front foot more often and sliding in the pocket to avoid pass-rushers.

Romo had a big game last week, but his season as a whole has been solid.  He's completed 71.8 percent of his passes for 1,523 yards, 13 touchdowns and just two interceptions.  He's on pace for almost 4,900 yards and 42 touchdowns this year.  Pro Football Focus (subscription required) has Romo ranked as its third-highest-graded QB so far.

As good as the two quarterbacks are, the real story is how bad the two defenses have played through the first five weeks of the season.  The Redskins rank 28th against the pass, while the Cowboys rank 31st.  Combined, the two teams allow 849.7 total yards and 55.2 points per game.

Expect much of the same this week on Sunday Night Football.  The Redskins are coming off of a bye week, and RGIII should have had plenty of time to prepare for the Cowboys, while Romo is red hot with plenty of playmakers around him.