NFL Spreads Week 6: Bizarre Lines That Bettors Should Exploit

Mike ChiariFeatured ColumnistOctober 10, 2013

OAKLAND, CA - OCTOBER 06:  Quarterback Terrelle Pryor #2 of the Oakland Raiders throws against the San Diego Chargers in the first quarter on October 06, 2013 at Coliseum in Oakland, California.   The Raiders lead 17-0 in the first half. (Photo by Brian Bahr/Getty Images)
Brian Bahr/Getty Images

Despite how skilled oddsmakers are at setting accurate betting lines, it's impossible for them to be 100 percent right on every game. There is plenty of money to be made on a weekly basis, but it simply comes down to identifying which lines are off the mark.

Sometimes that can be more easily said than done as many of the games this season have simply defied logic, so there is no telling what might happen from one game to the next. Even so, there are definitely a few lines that seem to be a bit off this week, which could lead to a lucrative couple of days.

Here are three bizarre lines in particular that bettors should be sure to exploit in Week 6.


Oakland Raiders (+8 at KC)

Many observers expected the Oakland Raiders to be the worst team in football this season, but that certainly hasn't been the case thus far. The Raiders may only be a modest 2-3, but they have been very competitive, and quarterback Terrelle Pryor has injected new life into the fanbase.

Oakland's progress will truly be tested on Sunday as they travel to take on the division-rival Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. With KC sporting an undefeated record, there promises to be plenty on the line.

The Chiefs have really turned things around this season under new head coach Andy Reid, as the defense is playing fantastic and quarterback Alex Smith has stabilized the offense. With that said, Kansas City is far from a dominant team, so it wouldn't be wise to count the Raiders out.

That is especially true considering Oakland's recent history at Arrowhead. The Raiders haven't been a very good team for the past decade or so, but they have not lost to the Chiefs on the road since 2006, according to Danny Parkins of The Drive in Kansas City.

This year's Chiefs team has a different feel than those of years past, but the same can be said for the Raiders. Pryor is one of the most electric dual-threat quarterbacks in the game, and he should be able to do plenty of damage with his legs after Tennessee Titans signal-caller Ryan Fitzpatrick was able to run on Kansas City last week. While the Chiefs should be able to come out on top, this has one-score game written all over it, so take the Raiders.


Indianapolis Colts (-2 at SD)

Fresh off a massive win over the Seattle Seahawks last week, the Indianapolis Colts will be featured in prime time as they'll face the San Diego Chargers on the road Monday night. San Diego's 2-3 record doesn't really do the team justice, as it could easily be 4-1 if not for blowing late leads against the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans.

The Chargers are coming off a disappointing Sunday night loss to the Raiders, though, and their fans are deflated as evidenced by the fact that Monday's game could be blacked out locally, according to Michael Gehlken of the San Diego Union-Tribune.

It can be argued that a blackout wouldn't have an effect on the players, but they'll certainly notice if there isn't a capacity crowd. That can't be great for the team's psyche, especially against a red-hot team like Indy.

In addition to the Colts' win over Seattle, they easily defeated the San Francisco 49ers on the road a few weeks ago, so they're flying high at this point. Quarterback Andrew Luck is playing controlled football, and the defense has really stepped up this season.

Perhaps more important than any of that, though, is the presence of running back Trent Richardson. While Richardson hasn't put up big numbers by any means since coming over from the Cleveland Browns, he forces opposing defenses to respect the threat of the run, and that opens things up considerably.

San Diego's defense is among the league's worst against the pass this season, so look for Luck to sell the play action, carve up the Chargers secondary and lead Indianapolis to a much easier win than the spread indicates.


Washington Redskins (+6.5 at DAL)

The NFC East has been awful this season, and it's still anyone's race because of that, so Sunday night's encounter between the Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys has plenty riding on it. Dallas is currently tied for the division lead at 2-3, but the Skins are just a half game behind, so the result of this contest could very well be a game-changer moving forward. Both teams will be up to the task, which is why a 6.5-point spread in favor of Dallas seems a bit excessive.

After all, the Redskins had their way with the Cowboys last season. Washington quarterback Robert Griffin III tore up the Cowboys in Dallas as he threw for more than 300 yards and four touchdowns against them last year, so he has proven capable of going into Cowboys Stadium and excelling.

Washington's Achilles heel right now is its defense, but Dallas hasn't been any better on that side of the ball as of late, according to Gregg Rosenthal of

Quarterback Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense are coming off a dominant performance in a narrow loss to the Denver Broncos last week, and Romo has been especially good at home over the past couple seasons. The Redskins are coming off a bye, however, and Griffin is a couple more weeks removed from the knee injury he suffered in the playoffs last year.

Washington isn't nearly as bad as it has looked this season, and it should cover in what promises to be a nail-biter.


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