Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistOctober 9, 2013

EUGENE, OR - OCTOBER 6: Defensive tackle Ricky Heimuli #90 of the Oregon Ducks gets set at the line of scrimmage during the third quarter of the game against the Washington Huskies on October 6, 2012 at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Oregon won the game 52-21. (Photo by Steve Dykes/Getty Images)
Steve Dykes/Getty Images

When you have lost nine in a row to a conference foe and never covered the spread even once, you can’t whine too loudly about being a 14-point home underdog. Not even when you are ranked No. 16, like the Washington Huskies.

And especially not when it’s the juggernaut Oregon Ducks on the other side of the betting ledger.

Point spread: Oregon opened as 10.5-point favorites but it was bet to -14 by Wednesday; the total was sitting at 75.5 midweek. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction: 55-29 Oregon

Why Oregon can cover the spread

Offense. It really doesn’t get any simpler than that. And even though the Ducks have the second-ranked offense behind Baylor, they’ve played a tougher schedule thus far and clearly have the best machine in college football. Oregon is 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS this season already and 8-0-1 ATS in nine games versus Washington.

Why Washington can cover the spread

The Huskies are going to be revved up hosting this border rivalry, and make note offense enthusiasts: The Huskies have gone three-and-out on offense in only six of 65 drives this season (9.2 percent), second to Baylor. The Huskies are talented and will be out to prove they can soar with the Ducks.

They are dominant at home (13-2 ATS past 15 games).

Smart Pick

Oregon hasn’t really been threatened by a quality team yet, and given how well the Huskies are coached—under Steve Sarkisian—taking a double-digit home underdog in college football is never a bad idea. And make note: UW is balanced on both sides of the ball. Oregon is in for a game here.


Oregon is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington

Huskies are 13-2 ATS in last 15 home games

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