Texas A&M vs. Mississippi: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistOctober 9, 2013

Ole Miss is a tough team riding a two-game losing streak, but bettors seem to be ignoring those facts as they throw money behind visiting Texas A&M. Yes, they have Johnny Manziel. And yes, they have one of the nation’s worst defenses.

 

Point spread: The Aggies opened as four-point favorites, but the line was pushing 6.5 points as of midweek; the total was sitting at 75 early Wednesday. (Line updates and Matchup report)

 

Computer Prediction: 48-32 Texas A&M

 

Why Texas A&M can cover the spread

Consecutive road losses to No. 1 Alabama and Auburn have sent the Rebels reeling, and now the ninth-ranked Aggies will be licking their chops. Texas A&M has the third-best offense in the nation, averaging 561.8 yards per game, and the fourth-best scoring offense that averages 49.2 points per game.

The Aggies are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 games.

 

Why Mississippi can cover the spread

The Rebels played four of their first five games on the road but have the next six at home, beginning with this clash at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. They, too, have a decent offense, one that is right in the middle of the SEC pack in total offense, averaging 427.8 yards per game.

They are riding a 10-5 ATS streak.

 

Smart Pick

While it's easy to think Texas A&M's high-powered offense will dictate this game after seeing Alabama and Auburn do it against Ole Miss, make note that the Aggies' defense is one of the worst in the nation.

Back at home now, the Rebels should be able to match wits offensively and keep it close, despite their recent run of poor results as a home underdog.

 

Trends:

Mississippi is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games

Texas A&M is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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