Betting college football games has been a risky proposition this season, as plenty of close calls and underdog upsets have been sprinkled throughout massive blowouts and chalk victories against the spread.
Regardless of whether or not you’ve been on the winning side of these contests, it’s time to focus your efforts on Week 7. There are a handful of marquee matchups that feature generous, beatable spreads.
Let’s take a look at these contests, predict the winner and explain why they will cover on Saturday.
*Point spreads courtesy of ScoresAndOdds.com.
No. 2 Oregon (-14) over No. 16 Washington
The high-flying Oregon Ducks are traveling south to Seattle to take on the No. 16 Washington Huskies in a battle that will have serious ramifications on the Pac-12 North standings.
The Ducks are favored in the contest, something they have been by an average of 38.3 points over the first five games of the season.
That number drops dramatically in Week 7, with bookmakers spotting Washington just two touchdowns against an opponent averaging 59.2 points per game.
Expect both teams to give their all, but in the end, the better side will emerge victorious. Oregon happens to be the superior squad in this scenario, as it has yet to lose a game straight up or against the spread, while No. 5 Stanford felled the Huskies in Week 6—although UW still managed to cover in a 31-28 defeat.
Regardless of the numbers, the Ducks have proved to be a high-powered offensive juggernaut incapable of being stopped by any foe in the nation. They will score a ton of touchdowns and use their No. 2 ranked scoring defense to get stops when they count.
Jump on this line early, as it could change significantly if injured superstar running back De’Anthony Thomas is cleared to play.
No. 17 Florida (+7) over No. 10 LSU
The LSU Tigers are hosting the Florida Gators in a pivotal showdown between two of the SEC’s top teams.
While either side could win this contest, the Gators are a far better bet to cover the spread.
Which team will cover?
Boasting the No. 4 ranked scoring defense in the country, head coach Will Muschamp will have his UF boys grinding to the bitter end, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see this one decided by a field goal or less.
While Florida has only averaged 25 points per game over their first five contests—significantly less than the 45.5 points that the Tigers are dropping on their opponents—they have been smothering quality teams and conceding just 12.2 points per game.
That’s not going to change on the road against LSU, even though the Florida offense will definitely struggle to put up enough touchdowns to outright win this one.
Regardless, defense wins championships and covers spreads, so back the dog here.
No. 12 Oklahoma (-14) over Texas
The Oklahoma Sooners are only laying 14 points at home against a downtrodden Texas Longhorns team, making this the stone cold, lead-pipe lock of the week.
OU is going to decimate this downtrodden UT program that was dismantled by both BYU and Ole Miss earlier in the season.
Don’t be fooled by the Longhorns’ recent back-to-back victories, as a win against Kansas State doesn’t amount to much in 2013—the Wildcats lost to North Dakota State in the season opener—and they needed questionable calls from the referees to overtake Iowa State in a controversial Thursday night contest in Week 6.
The Red River Rivalry isn’t what it used to be, and Oklahoma will continue to dominate it on Saturday. The Sooners are catching breaks they hardly needed, as Texas signal-caller David Ash will be absent due to a head injury.
The Longhorns have been perpetually overrated—especially against the spread—over the past few seasons and should be at least three-touchdown underdogs here. Since they aren’t, you simply can’t back this team.