Fantasy Football Week 6: Updated Trade Value for Top 100 Players

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Fantasy Football Week 6: Updated Trade Value for Top 100 Players
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

With five weeks in the books, the fantasy trade market is beginning to heat up. Teams that have started slow are looking to make big deals in order to change their fortunes, and teams atop the standings may be starting to look for "buy low" candidates in order to add depth.

At this point in the season, people panic-trade to fill in gaps created by byes and injuries, and some people simply get bored with their teams and propose a bunch of trades to see what sticks.

No matter what camp you fall in, you probably could use a nice, handy tool to ensure that you are getting maximumor at least fairvalue in a trade. With my trade value chart of the top 100 players in fantasy football, you won't have to worry about getting ripped off anymore. 

 

Notes: The top 100 players were determined by using the current ESPN standard-scoring league rankings, calculating each player's "value over replacement player" (VORP for short) and by projecting a player's value for the rest of the season.

VORP was calculated by determining how many additional (or fewer) points per week a player scored compared to the best bench player at his position in 10-team leagues (No. 11 quarterback and tight end; No. 26 running back and wide receiver, taking the flex into account).

Any player not listed has a trade value of 1. Remember, this is only a guide—your team needs and areas of strength should always determine any potential trades.

 

Quarterbacks

Week 6 Trade Value for Top Quarterbacks
Overall Rank Position Rank Player Team Trade Value
1 1 Peyton Manning Denver Broncos 30
9 2 Drew Brees New Orleans Saints 25
10 3 Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers 25
27 4 Cam Newton Carolina Panthers 20
28 5 Tom Brady New England Patriots 20
29 6 Matt Ryan Atlanta Falcons 19
30 7 Tony Romo Dallas Cowboys 19
31 8 Philip Rivers San Diego Chargers 19
32 9 Matt Stafford Detroit Lions 18
33 10 Robert Griffin III Washington 18
47 11 Andrew Luck Indianapolis Colts 14
51 12 Michael Vick Philadelphia Eagles 13
76 13 Russell Wilson Seattle Seahawks 7
77 14 Colin Kaepernick San Francisco 49ers 7
91 15 Jay Cutler Chicago Bears 3
100 16 Sam Bradford St. Louis Rams 2

 

Quarterback Notes

Peyton Manning is averaging 30.1 fantasy points per week and, on average, is scoring 14.2 more points per week the No. 11 quarterback in fantasy football, Robert Griffin III. That is good for the highest VORP in the NFL. That's insane, and I guarantee you that the owner of Manning in your league is probably pretty high up the standings.

Hence, Manning remains atop my trade value chart for the second-straight week. 

If you have Manning and another solid quarterback behind him, and let's say want to move him to reinforce a weak crop of running backs and wide receivers, what type of deals should you make? Here are a few examples:

Given how unpredictable the running back crop has been this year, that last move would probably be pretty hard to pull off. But that should give you an idea of what type of return to demand for Manning should you decide to trade him with his value being at an all-time high.

Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers remain very valuable given their consistency. Some folks may think Cam Newton and Tom Brady are overvalued here given their slow starts, but history suggests that they'll be better than they've been thus far. The loss of Julio Jones—along with a banged-up Roddy White—diminished Matt Ryan's value slightly, but not significantly.

Tony Romo's epic performance against the Denver Broncos and the fact that he plays two terrible pass defenses in the next two weeks (Washington and the Philadelphia) sees his value take a big bump. Philip Rivers' consistent performance also bumped him up the chart, while Michael Vick's injury and the mediocre fantasy output from Colin Kaepernick and Russell Wilson dropped the speedy trio down the rankings.

 

Running Backs

Week 6 Trade Value for Top Running Backs
Overall Rank Position Rank Player Team Trade Value
2 1 Adrian Peterson Minnesota Vikings 29
3 2 Jamaal Charles Kansas City Chiefs 28
4 3 LeSean McCoy Philadelphia Eagles 28
6 4 Matt Forte Chicago Bears 27
7 5 Marshawn Lynch Seattle Seahawks 27
8 6 Arian Foster Houston Texans 27
13 7 Ray Rice Baltimore Ravens 24
14 8 DeMarco Murray Dallas Cowboys 23
15 9 Reggie Bush Detroit Lions 23
16 10 Frank Gore San Francisco 49ers 23
21 11 Alfred Morris Washington 22
22 12 Doug Martin Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22
37 13 Fred Jackson Buffalo Bills 16
38 14 C.J. Spiller Buffalo Bills 16
44 15 Knowshon Moreno Denver Broncos 14
45 16 Giovani Bernard Cincinnati Bengals 14
46 17 Steven Jackson Atlanta Falcons 14
50 18 Trent Richardson Indianapolis Colts 13
52 19 Darren Sproles New Orleans Saints 12
53 20 Bilal Powell New York Jets 12
65 21 DeAngelo Williams Carolina Panthers 10
66 22 Chris Johnson Tennessee Titans 10
67 23 Darren McFadden Oakland Raiders 10
68 24 Eddie Lacy Green Bay Packers 10
69 25 Le'Veon Bell Pittsburgh Steelers 10
73 26 Maurice Jones-Drew Jacksonville Jaguars 8
74 27 Lamar Miller Miami Dolphins 8
78 28 Danny Woodhead San Diego Chargers 6
85 29 Willis McGahee Cleveland Browns 5
88 30 David Wilson New York Giants 4
89 31 Rashard Mendenhall Arizona Cardinals 3
90 32 Ryan Mathews San Diego Chargers 3
97 33 Zac Stacy St. Louis Rams 2

 

Running Back Notes

Elsa/Getty Images

Only Peyton Manning has a higher VORP than Adrian Peterson's +12 this season, so A.D. continues to be an excellent value at a position with a lot of turmoil this season. Oh, and then there is this from Michael David Smith of Pro Football Talk:

Maybe 2,500 yards isn't so crazy after all.

McCoy, Jamaal Charles, Matt Forte, Marshawn Lynch and Arian Foster remain safe options at a tumultuous position, so their value is high. Rice's big Week 5 saw his value shoot up—though I'm still wary of the Baltimore Ravens becoming pass-happy again—while Fred Jackson and Spiller are now of equal value in Buffalo. 

Spiller is a nice buy-low candidate right now, as are Steven Jackson—expect Atlanta to lean heavily on him when he returns with all their injuries at wide receiver—and Miami's Miller.

After Alfred Morris and Doug Martin there is a pretty big drop in value, however, so it's pretty important to make sure you have at least one of the top-10 values at the position this year.

 

Wide Receiver

Week 6 Trade Value for Top Wide Receivers
Overall Rank Position Rank Player Team Trade Value
11 1 Calvin Johnson Detroit Lions 24
12 2 Dez Bryant Dallas Cowboys 24
17 3 A.J. Green Cincinnati Bengals 23
18 4 Demaryius Thomas Denver Broncos 23
19 5 Victor Cruz New York Giants 22
20 6 Brandon Marshall Chicago Bears 22
23 7 Jordy Nelson Green Bay Packers 21
24 8 Wes Welker Denver Broncos 21
25 9 Randall Cobb Green Bay Packers 21
26 10 DeSean Jackson Philadelphia Eagles 20
39 11 Torrey Smith Baltimore Ravens 15
40 12 Vincent Jackson Tampa Bay Buccaneers 15
41 13 Reggie Wayne Indianapolis Colts 15
42 14 Pierre Garcon Washington 15
43 15 Antonio Brown Pittsburgh Steelers 15
48 16 James Jones Green Bay Packers 13
49 17 Josh Gordon Cleveland Browns 13
54 18 Larry Fitzgerald Arizona Cardinals 12
55 19 Andre Johnson Houston Texans 12
56 20 Hakeem Nicks New York Giants 12
57 21 Marques Colston New Orleans Saints 12
58 22 Roddy White Atlanta Falcons 12
62 23 Eric Decker Denver Broncos 11
63 24 Alshon Jeffery Chicago Bears 11
64 25 Anquan Boldin San Francisco 49ers 10
70 26 Justin Blackmon Jacksonville Jaguars 9
71 27 Cecil Shorts Jacksonville Jaguars 9
72 28 Danny Amendola New England Patriots 9
79 29 Denarius Moore Oakland Raiders 6
80 30 Mike Wallace Miami Dolphins 6
81 31 Dwayne Bowe Kansas City Chiefs 6
82 32 Greg Jennings Minnesota Vikings 6
92 33 T.Y. Hilton Indianapolis Colts 3
93 34 Steve Johnson Buffalo Bills 3
95 35 Harry Douglas Atlanta Falcons 3
96 36 Steve Smith Carolina Panthers 2

 

Wide Receiver Notes

Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

More than any other position, there are a lot of players near the top of the trade value chart that project to have more value than they've actually had thus far this season. Calvin Johnson, Brandon Marshall and A.J. Green are all high up this list based upon their past performances, but if they don't start putting up big numbers soon, their value will start to drop.

Not surprisingly, Denver Broncos and Green Packers make up four of the top nine slots; that's the Manning and Rodgers effect. 

One thing that is apparent is the depth at wide receiver. It is much better than any other position in fantasy football, and it is a symptom of the NFL's pass-happy ways.

For that reason, the difference in value between the 11th (Torrey Smith) and 25th (Anquan Boldin) wide receiver is just five value points on this chart. Contrast that to the running back position, where the difference in value between the 11th running back (Morris) and the 25th (Le'Veon Bell) is 12 value points.

That may not mean much to owners in the present, but it's an interesting factoid to consider in the early rounds next year when you are torn between picking a running back or wide receiver. Chances are, you'll be able to make up the value at receiver more easily in the later rounds than the value at running back. 

The big mover this week is Alshon Jeffery, whose consecutive huge weeks gives him a trade value of 11. If he's somehow available on your waiver wire, adding him is without question your top priority.

 

Tight End

Week 6 Trade Value for Top Tight Ends
Overall Rank Position Rank Player Team Trade Value
5 1 Jimmy Graham New Orleans Saints 27
34 2 Julius Thomas Denver Broncos 17
35 3 Jordan Cameron Cleveland Browns 17
36 4 Rob Gronkowski New England Patriots 17
59 5 Antonio Gates San Diego Chargers 11
60 6 Jason Witten Dallas Cowboys 11
61 7 Tony Gonzalez Atlanta Falcons 11
75 8 Vernon Davis San Francisco 49ers 8
83 9 Greg Olsen Carolina Panthers 5
84 10 Jermichael Finley Green Bay Packers 5
86 11 Garrett Graham Houston Texans 4
87 12 Martellus Bennett Chicago Bears 4
98 13 Charles Clay Miami Dolphins 2

 

Tight End Notes

Rob Grabowski-USA TODAY Sports

In standard-scoring leagues, just six players have scored more fantasy points than Jimmy Graham, and they are all quarterbacks (Manning, Brees, Romo, Rivers, Vick and Ryan). He also has the NFL's third-best VORP (+11.6), behind just Manning and Peterson. 

At the moment, that makes him the third most valuable player in all of fantasy. However, he drops down to the No. 5 overall value for me simply because his production doesn't seem sustainable—he's on pace for 118 catches, 1,897 yards and 19 touchdowns, folks. 

Still, 100 catches, 1,500 yards and 15 touchdowns—epic numbers for a wide receiver, let alone a tight end—now seem pretty feasible. 

I had a a Twitter follower propose a trade where he would receive Graham and Greg Jennings in exchange for McCoy and Greg Olsen. Via the trade chart, it was a perfectly balanced deal. Of course, you only make the move if you have solid running back depth, but that's how valuable Graham has been this year.

I've lumped Jordan Cameron, Julius Thomas and Rob Gronkowski together in value, simply because the first two have been excellent this year and, while Gronk's upside is posting Graham-like numbers, the threat of injury has to be considered given his recent history. 

After those three, the value in tight ends drops pretty significantly, as the pack really condenses in value. Antonio Gates, Jason Witten and Tony Gonzalez are all still pretty valuable, while Vernon Davis is probably the last of the tight ends you should be willing to trade a consistent flex option for. 

 

 

Defense/Special Teams

Week 6 Trade Value for Top Defense/Special Teams
Overall Rank Position Rank Team Trade Value
94 1 Kansas City Chiefs 3
99 2 Seattle Seahawks 2

 

Defense/Special Team Notes

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging a whopping 17.4 fantasy points per week in standard scoring leagues, so the value there is obvious. Meanwhile, the Seattle Seahawks are the only fantasy defense to score nine or more points in every week.

That level of consistency is highly valuable, though you still shouldn't overpay for a defense when you can play matchups, stream defenses and still get value without trading away a good player.  

 

Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy lineup questions and offer trade advice to pair with this chart. I can't see into the future, but if I had a Tardis I would use it for fantasy football purposes.

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