Miami has owned Georgia Tech in recent years, but the Yellow Jackets have more than a fighting chance here in ACC betting action on Saturday. The Hurricanes have covered the spread in nine of 10, but Georgia Tech has been profitable for backers as well with five covers in its last six matches.
Point spread: Miami opened as 4-point favorites (bet up to -6 at some shops by Thursday); the total was 55.5. (Line updates and Matchup report)
Computer Prediction: 35-27 Miami
Why Georgia Tech can cover the spread
The Yellow Jackets rank in the top 15 nationally in scoring defense (T8th), red-zone defense (T9th), total defense (9th), first downs defense (10th) and rushing defense (11th). The stop unit is the key factor for Georgia Tech to grab the cash in South Beach. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
Why Miami can cover the spread
Miami has won and covered the last four meetings, including a 42-36 win in overtime last season in Atlanta, and now the 14th-ranked Hurricanes host this one, their conference-opener. That should give them confidence to stop G-Tech's triple option, which Miami tends to have success against.
The Canes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
Given this one is at SunLife Stadium, Miami will open up an early lead. They'll be in a good spot to maintain their lead since a triple-option attack usually proves ineffective when having to come from behind. The Hurricanes' best strategy will be to score fast, which shouldn't be an issue with the nation's No. 9 scoring offense.
Miami 4-0 SU & ATS past four meetings vs Yellow Jackets
Seven of the last 10 meetings have stayed UNDER the total