Georgia Tech vs. Miami: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistOctober 3, 2013

ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 22: Robert Godhigh #25 of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets runs downfield with the football for a 37-yard gain against the Miami Hurricanes during first half action in the game at Bobby Dodd Stadium on September 22, 2012 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Miami has owned Georgia Tech in recent years, but the Yellow Jackets have more than a fighting chance here in ACC betting action on Saturday. The Hurricanes have covered the spread in nine of 10, but Georgia Tech has been profitable for backers as well with five covers in its last six matches.

Point spread: Miami opened as 4-point favorites (bet up to -6 at some shops by Thursday); the total was 55.5. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction: 35-27 Miami

 

Why Georgia Tech can cover the spread

The Yellow Jackets rank in the top 15 nationally in scoring defense (T8th), red-zone defense (T9th), total defense (9th), first downs defense (10th) and rushing defense (11th). The stop unit is the key factor for Georgia Tech to grab the cash in South Beach. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

 

Why Miami can cover the spread

Miami has won and covered the last four meetings, including a 42-36 win in overtime last season in Atlanta, and now the 14th-ranked Hurricanes host this one, their conference-opener. That should give them confidence to stop G-Tech's triple option, which Miami tends to have success against.

The Canes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

 

Smart Pick

Given this one is at SunLife Stadium, Miami will open up an early lead. They'll be in a good spot to maintain their lead since a triple-option attack usually proves ineffective when having to come from behind. The Hurricanes' best strategy will be to score fast, which shouldn't be an issue with the nation's No. 9 scoring offense.

 

Trends

Miami 4-0 SU & ATS past four meetings vs Yellow Jackets

Seven of the last 10 meetings have stayed UNDER the total

 

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Sharkfollow them on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.

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