Fantasy Football Week 5: Updated Trade Value for Top 100 Players

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Fantasy Football Week 5: Updated Trade Value for Top 100 Players
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

We spend most of our lives ascribing value to everything around us, literally and figuratively.

Literally speaking, it's how our economy functions. Figuratively speaking, it's how we establish and maintain relationships, pick our hobbies and decide whether to order that pizza or go for a jog and eat a salad instead.

So why should your fantasy football trades be any different?

Sure, you could wing it during your next trade, hoping your instincts and opinions on players will help you get optimal value in your deal. Or, you could use the values I've ascribed to the top 100 players in fantasy football to ensure you get the best return possible. 

Don't go into your trade blind, folks—I'm here to help.

 

Notes: The top 100 players were determined by using the current ESPN standard-scoring league rankings, calculating each player's value over bench player (VOBP for short) and by projecting a player's value the rest of the season.

VOBP was calculated by determining how many additional (or fewer) points per week a player scored compared to the best bench player at his position in 10-team leagues (No. 11 quarterback and tight end; No. 26 running back and wide receiver, taking the flex into account).

Any player not listed has a trade value of one. Remember, this is only a guide—your team needs and areas of strength should always inform any potential trades.

 

Quarterbacks

Week 5 Trade Value for Top Quarterbacks
Position Rank Overall Rank Player Team Trade Value
1 1 Peyton Manning Denver Broncos 30
2 8 Drew Brees New Orleans Saitns 25
3 9 Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers 25
4 17 Cam Newton Carolina Panthers 23
5 27 Matt Ryan Atlanta Falcons 20
6 28 Tom Brady New England Patriots 20
7 29 Matt Stafford Detroit Lions 19
8 30 Robert Griffin III Washington 19
9 41 Philip Rivers San Diego Chargers 16
10 42 Michael Vick Philadelphia Eagles 16
11 51 Tony Romo Dallas Cowboys 14
12 52 Andrew Luck Indianapolis Colts 14
13 54 Colin Kaepernick San Francisco 49ers 13
14 55 Russell Wilson Seattle Seahawks 13
15 96 Alex Smith Kansas City Chiefs 2
16 97 Eli Manning New York Giants 2

 

Quarterback Notes

Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

Yes, I think Peyton Manning is the most valuable player in all of fantasy. For starters, he has the most fantasy points of any player thus far this season. Furthermore, while I think his production will inevitably dip slightly, I still think he could seriously challenge Tom Brady's NFL-record 50 touchdown passes in 2007. 

And he has the highest VOBP (13.8 more fantasy points per week than the best bench players in 10-team leagues, Tony Romo and Robert Griffin III, tied with 16.8 points per week) in all of football, meaning he's more valuable at his position thus far than any other player in the league at his position. 

Add it all up, and Manning is currently the most valuable trade asset in fantasy football. 

Despite strong starts to the season, I'm still hesitant to overvalue Philip Rivers or Michael Vick. Of course, if Rivers keeps up his current pace (22 points per week), his trade value will increase, but I haven't forgotten his disappointing 2012 season just yet. Meanwhile, Vick remains a huge injury risk.

As you can see, I think there's a huge difference between the top 14 quarterbacks in fantasy this year and the rest of the field. Don't overpay for a quarterback in a trade if you don't have one of the top options.

 

Running Backs 

Week 5 Trade Value for Top Running Backs
Position Rank Overall Rank Player Team Trade Value
1 2 Adrian Peterson Minnesota Vikings 29
2 3 LeSean McCoy Philadelphia Eagles 28
3 4 Jamaal Charles Kansas City Chiefs 28
4 5 Matt Forte Chicago Bears 27
5 6 Marshawn Lynch Seattle Seahawks 27
6 11 Arian Foster Houston Texans 25
7 18 Reggie Bush Detroit Lions 22
8 19 DeMarco Murray Dallas Cowboys 22
9 20 Doug Martin Tampa Bay Buccaneers 22
10 21 Alfred Morris Washington 21
11 26 Ray Rice Baltimore Ravens 20
12 31 Frank Gore San Francisco 49ers 19
13 34 Trent Richardson Indianapolis Colts 18
14 38 C.J. Spiller Buffalo Bills 17
15 46 Steven Jackson Atlanta Falcons 15
16 47 Fred Jackson Buffalo Bills 15
17 48 Le'Veon Bell Pittsburgh Steelers 15
18 49 Eddie Lacy Green Bay Packers 14
19 50 Chris Johnson Tennessee Titans 14
20 53 Darren McFadden Oakland Raiders 13
21 66 Knowshon Moreno Denver Broncos 10
22 68 Darren Sproles New Orleans Saints 9
23 69 Maurice Jones-Drew Jacksonville Jaguars 9
24 70 Giovani Bernard Cincinnati Bengals 9
25 71 DeAngelo Williams Carolina Panthers 9
26 73 Bilal Powell New York Jets 8
27 74 Lamar Miller Miami Dolphins 8
28 75 Joique Bell Detroit Lions 8
29 84 Ryan Mathews San Diego Chargers 6
30 88 David Wilson New York Giants 5

 

Running Back Notes

Jamie McDonald/Getty Images

I don't think there are too many surprises here. Adrian Peterson continues to be one of the most valuable players in all of fantasy, while strong starts from Jamaal Charles and LeSean McCoy shoot them near the top of my trade-value list. 

As you can see, both Ray Rice and C.J. Spiller have seen their trade values take a hit, though I still think each player will recover. I'm more hesitant on David Wilson, who only has a trade value of five at the moment, while Stevan Ridley isn't even on the list after being a second- or third-round pick in most leagues.

 

Wide Receivers

Week 5 Trade Value for Top Wide Receivers
Position Rank Overall Rank Player Team Trade Value
1 10 Calvin Johnson Detroit Lions 25
2 12 Demaryius Thomas Denver Broncos 24
3 13 Julio Jones Atlanta Falcons 24
4 14 Dez Bryant Dallas Cowboys 24
5 15 A.J. Green Cincinnati Bengals 24
6 16 Victor Cruz New York Giants 23
7 22 Brandon Marshall Chicago Bears 21
8 23 Jordy Nelson Green Bay Packers 21
9 24 Wes Welker Denver Broncos 20
10 25 Randall Cobb Green Bay Packers 20
11 35 DeSean Jackson Philadelphia Eagles 18
12 36 Andre Johnson Houston Texans 17
13 37 Larry Fitzgerald Arizona Cardinals 17
14 39 Vincent Jackson Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16
15 40 Antonio Brown Pittsburgh Steelers 16
16 43 Torrey Smith Baltimore Ravens 15
17 44 Reggie Wayne Indianapolis Colts 15
18 45 Marques Colston New Orleans Saints 15
19 58 Josh Gordon Cleveland Browns 12
20 59 Anquan Boldin San Francisco 49ers 12
21 60 Pierre Garcon Washington 12
22 61 Roddy White Atlanta Falcons 12
23 62 Dwayne Bowe Kansas City Chiefs 11
24 63 James Jones Green Bay Packers 11
25 65 Mike Wallace Miami Dolphins 10
26 72 Eric Decker Denver Broncos 9
27 76 Hakeem Nicks New York Giants 8
28 79 Steve Johnson Buffalo Bills 7
29 80 Justin Blackmon Jacksonville Jaguars 6
30 81 Cecil Shorts Jacksonville Jaguars 6
31 82 Steve Smith Carolina Panthers 6
32 83 Greg Jennings Minnesota Vikings 6
33 85 Danny Amendola New England Patriots 5
34 90 Nate Washington Tennessee Titans 3
35 91 Kenbrell Thompkins New England Patriots 3
36 92 Tavon Austin St. Louis Rams 3
37 93 Julian Edelman New England Patriots 3
38 94 Denarius Moore Oakland Raiders 3
39 100 Eddie Royal San Diego Chargers 2

 

Wide Receiver Notes

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

Yes, I know by his standards Calvin Johnson has started slowly, but given that he's finished atop the wide receiver rankings the past two seasons, I think it's safe to assume he'll produce huge fantasy numbers for owners this season. Ditto for A.J. Green, who will get back on track for fantasy owners disappointed by his past three weeks.

Victor Cruz remains the only safe fantasy option on the New York Giants, reflected by his high trade value, while you can see I value Jordy Nelson ever-so-slightly over Randall Cobb in Green Bay. Vincent Jackson's value takes a hit given his recent injury and the unknowns that come with his new quarterback, rookie Mike Glennon, while Antonio Brown's recent play shoots him up the list.

Roddy White's early-season injury struggles have made him a great buy-low candidate, as he should see his numbers go up as he continues to get healthy. 

 

Tight Ends

Week 5 Trade Value for Top Tight End
Position Rank Overall Rank Player Team Trade Value
1 7 Jimmy Graham New Orleans Saints 26
2 32 Jordan Cameron Cleveland Browns 19
3 33 Rob Gronkowski New England Patriots 18
4 56 Julius Thomas Denver Broncos 13
5 57 Tony Gonzalez Atlanta Falcons 12
6 64 Vernon Davis San Francisco 49ers 11
7 67 Antonio Gates San Diego Chargers 10
8 77 Jason Witten Dallas Cowboys 7
9 78 Martellus Bennett Chicago Bears 7
10 86 Greg Olsen Carolina Panthers 5
11 87 Jermichael Finley Green Bay Packers 5
12 89 Owen Daniels Houston Texans 4
13 99 Charles Clay Miami Dolphins 2

 

Tight End Notes

Chris Graythen/Getty Images

I anticipate that people will question how I could label Jimmy Graham as the seventh-most-valuable player in all of fantasy football this season, so I'll defend that decision in some depth. 

First of all, after four weeks Graham has more fantasy points than every wide receiver, every running back and all but four quarterbacks. That's insane. 

Not only that, but he has the second-highest VOBP (+12.3) in all of football, trailing only Manning. People have the tendency to undervalue tight ends, but you still have to start one each week, and starting Graham means you're getting more value at that position than any other player at any other position offers outside of Manning.

I expect his production to come back to earth a bit. After all, he's on pace for 1,832 receiving yards and 24 touchdowns. But his production won't dramatically regress, and he's fully capable of reaching 1,400 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns. 

Jordan Cameron is the second-most-valuable tight end in fantasy. He's a beast, folks, and tight ends generally keep their value even with poor quarterbacks (not that Brian Hoyer has been particularly poor) since they can act as security blankets.

Based on his recent injury struggles, I view Rob Gronkowski as slightly less valuable than Cameron at the moment, but even without playing yet this season, he's the third-most-valuable tight end for fantasy owners moving forward. Remember, he has 38 touchdowns in 43 career games—that's insane.

Along with Rivers, Antonio Gates' value continues to climb. If you think he'll continue this pace, go out and get him now at a reasonable value. If you think he'll regress or struggle with injuries, trade him immediately while his value is as high as it's been in quite a while. 

 

Defense/Special Teams

Week 5 Trade Value for Top Defense/Special Teams
Position Rank Overall Rank Team Trade Value
1 95 Seattle Seahawks 3
2 98 Kansas City Chiefs 2

 

Defense/Special Team Notes

Scott Halleran/Getty Images

Generally speaking, defenses are fickle and hard to trust week-to-week, so I don't rate them very highly. The Seattle Seahawks make this list because of consistency—they're the only defense to score double-digit points in all four weeks.

The Kansas City Chiefs make the list because they lead all fantasy defenses in points by a wide margin, having scored 20 or more points three times, and face a pretty easy schedule this season. 

Other than that, defenses hold little value in trades in my opinion. 

 

Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy lineup questions, make ill-fated NFL predictions and tweet cheesy jokes. Excessive debate is always welcomed. 

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