It's a bad club to be a part of. According to the Elias Sports Bureau (h/t ESPN Stats & Info), only one team has ever made the NFL postseason after starting out 0-4. Do any of these 2013 squads stand a chance at becoming the new 1992 San Diego Chargers? Can any of these teams make history?
The answer is a resounding yes! Ladies and gentlemen, your Jacksonville Jaguars!
No, this is not a good thing.
To be honest, nobody is surprised the Jaguars are bad. However, they could become the worst team in NFL history by season's end. Yes, the worst team ever. I mean, has a professional sports franchise ever offered free beer for its fans to come to games?
Just kidding. With this squad, it's about the statistics. Numbers do not lie, and through four games, the Jaguars have a point differential of minus-98.
For those of you who do not understand the value of point differential, it is the basis for one of the most intriguingly accurate true measures of success in the NFL, as pointed out by Grantland's Bill Barnwell.
Essentially, your wins and ratio of points scored to allowed are directly proportional.
To further put into context how hilariously bad a minus-98 is, the Jags were similarly horrible last season and finished 2-14. The 2012 edition of the Jags had a point differential of minus-189. Of course, they played 16 games.
Maybe you're not a mathematician, but at this rate, the 2013 Jacksonville Jaguars will get outscored by 392 points.
In a nutshell, through four games, they are twice as bad as they were last year.
I mean, they can really make history this year. In NFL history, 11 teams have gone winless. Most of them were expansion teams while others played shortened seasons or "accomplished" the feat before the merger.
Since the merger, the only two teams that lost all their games in a season while not being locked out are the Detroit Lions and the Buccaneers.
The 2008 Lions had a point differential of minus-249, but the 1976 Bucs had an even worse minus-287—the worst in NFL history.
The Jacksonville Jaguars are on pace for minus-392.
After playing St.Louis in Week 5, they will face a slate of slaughterhouse games: Denver (Peyton Manning could seriously break his own record in this game), San Diego (seventh-ranked offense in 2013-14) and San Francisco (second-best defense in the league) before their bye week.
More statistics tell more gruesome tales. Their team completion percentage between Blaine Gabbert and Chad Henne is 53.0, while their opponents boast a rate of 64.3. We keep hearing about how this is a passing league, and getting out-passed this badly is downright awful.
They run for 2.3 yards per rush while opponents run for 5.2. There's the old adage that, if you can't run the ball or stop the run, you won't win in this league.
One more statistic: The Jags have sacked opposing quarterbacks eight times this year while giving up 18 sacks.
I am fully confident that this number will improve next year. You only need to watch this video of the future No. 1 overall pick to see why.