Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistOctober 1, 2013

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 30:  Brandon Graham #54 of the Philadelphia Eagles and  Martellus Bennett #85 of the New York Giants argue after a play in the fourth quarter at MetLife Stadium on December 30, 2012 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The New York Giants defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 42-7.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Elsa/Getty Images

Oh how the once-mighty NFC East has fallen. The sportsbooks have made the 0-4 New York Giants small home favorites to the 1-3 Philadelphia Eagles in a matchup that sadly still means something in the league’s lamest division.

Point spread: Giants opened as 1.5-point favorites; the total was 55.5. (Line updates and Matchup report)

Computer Prediction: 16.7-6.0 Eagles

Why the Eagles can cover the spread

Since a season-opening 33-27 win over the Redskins, Philadelphia has lost three straight, all to AFC West opponents. Coach Chip Kelly's fast-paced, high-octane offense may not have worked against a trio of teams that would be in first in the NFC East, but it can against division teams.

Philly has won eight of 11 trips to visit the Giants over the years and have dominated them against the spread as well.

Why the Giants can cover the spread

At 0-4, the Giants are off to their worst start in more than 25 years, and they come into this contest after being blown out three straight times, but they’re not nearly as bad as the Jaguars.

Coach Tom Coughlin has been here before and knows a 9-3 run to close the season could win the division. The problem with starting 0-4 is that it usually means your team isn’t very good, so expecting a sudden season-long win streak is very much against the odds.

Smart Pick

The computer is spot-on here, as Philadelphia's offense will work against a New York defense that has surrendered the most points in the league. The Eagles' losses have come at the hands of teams with a combined 10-2 record.

They should be able to outpoint the Giants' offense, which ranks 30th in points per game.


Giants 2-8 SU & ATS past 10 games vs Eagles

Giants 3-8 SU past 11 at home vs Philly

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