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The computer is all about some upsets this weekend. LSU's offense looks as potent as ever, and while Mississippi State's defense has surprised, the Bulldogs are in the midst of a quarterback battle and haven't been able to overcome the little things.
Is this the game where it all comes together?
The computer calls Russell on the start for MSU, who sends the first drive of the game into the end zone and puts the 'Dawgs up 7-0. After another big drive in the second quarter and after a couple of field goals, State holds a 17-3 halftime advantage.
Russell comes back out in the third and, realizing Mississippi State was actually winning for once, refused to submit and throws a pick-six which is taken back 15 yards by Martin. Despite a 41-yard passing touchdown from Mettenberger in the fourth, the Bulldogs squeak by on a field goal to hold onto the upset.
State holds the Tigers to 270 yards of offense and forces three turnovers, as the computer predicts that defense will conquer offense in this one. Russell goes 14-of-26 for 239 yards, two touchdowns and the interception, and Mettenberger is worse at 10-of-26 for 164 yards and a score. For those wondering, Prescott is just 3-of-8 with 19 yards and a pick, rushing for five yards on three carries.
Perkins runs all over LSU for 121 yards, tight end Malcolm Johnson has a breakout game with 130 yards receiving, and Preston Smith has a monster game with 15 tackles, nine of those for a loss, and 3.5 sacks.
I'll be the first to point out that Mississippi State is misunderstood. The Bulldogs lost their starting quarterback and running back against Oklahoma State after dominating the first quarter, and the offense unsurprisingly took a step back. MSU was one prevent defense away from a win in Auburn and absolutely dismantled a solid Troy squad.
I don't think, though, MSU has what it takes to derail LSU's national championship aspirations. This should be a fun game to watch either way.
EA PICKS: Mississippi State to win, Mississippi State (+9.5)
MY PICKS: LSU to win, Mississippi State (+9.5)