NFL Lines Week 5: Favorites Guaranteed to Cover the Spread
The Atlanta Falcons will be the heaviest favorite in Week 5, and for more than one reason.
At 1-3, Mike Smith has the undivided attention of his football team. Even better, the Falcons will welcome the New York Jets in a raucous Georgia Dome on Monday Night Football. To this point in 2013-14, only the New York Giants have turned the ball over more than the Jets, who are also winless on the road.
But Atlanta isn't the only favorite set to cover the spread this coming weekend. With a new slate of matchups on the way in Week 5, let's take a look at three favorites I like to cover the spread with ease.
|Buffalo Bills||vs||Cleveland Browns (-3)||40.5|
|Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)||vs||Tennessee Titans||41.5|
|Baltimore Ravens||vs||Miami Dolphins (-3.5)||42.5|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||vs||St. Louis Rams (-7.5)||43|
|New England Patriots||vs||Cincinnati Bengals (-1)||N/A|
|Seattle Seahawks (-3)||vs||Indianapolis Colts||43|
|Detroit Lions||vs||Green Bay Packers (-7)||51.5|
|New Orleans Saints||vs||Chicago Bears (Even)||47|
|Philadelphia Eagles||vs||New York Giants (-4)||55|
|Carolina Panthers (-2.5)||vs||Arizona Cardinals||42|
|San Diego Chargers (-3)||vs||Oakland Raiders||44|
|Denver Broncos (-3.5)||vs||Dallas Cowboys||54|
|Houston Texans||vs||San Francisco 49ers (-4.5)||42.5|
|New York Jets||vs||Atlanta Falcons (-9)||N/A|
Line info according to VegasInsider.com
Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) over Tennessee Titans
Andy Reid's undefeated Kansas City Chiefs were already going to be favorites coming into Week 5's showdown with the Tennessee Titans, but with ESPN.com reporting that Titans starting quarterback Jake Locker is expected to miss four to eight weeks with a hip injury, the Chiefs are a lock to escape Nashville with a win on Sunday.
While Tennessee is the only team in the league that has yet to turn the ball over, that could easily change with a new face at quarterback.
The Titans and Chiefs are tied atop the league for the best turnover differential through four weeks at plus-nine.
Although backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has significant regular-season experience, losing a dual-threat player like Locker really hurts the Titans. Before going down, the third-year quarterback was completing a career-best 62 percent of his passes and rushing for 6.5 yards per carry.
On top of losing Locker, the short-handed Titans offense will be up against the No. 1-ranked scoring defense in the NFL. The Chiefs are allowing just 10.3 points per game in 2013 and rank seventh in fewest total yards allowed.
San Diego (-3) over Oakland Raiders
Believe it or not, Philip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers are a couple of blown leads away from being 4-0 this season.
In Week 5, the Bolts will be on the road for the third time this season to take on the Oakland Raiders, who have dropped two straight games. Even though San Diego has been unpredictable to start the year, look for the Chargers to pick up a big-time division win in the Bay Area on Sunday afternoon.
While San Diego has been anything but consistent in recent seasons, one thing the Chargers do accomplish on a consistent basis is beat the Raiders.
If you don't think the Chargers can cover, considering the following: San Diego has won the last three meetings between these two teams and is 16-4 overall against Oakland over the past 10 seasons.
Atlanta Falcons (-9) over New York Jets
The New York Jets will have an extra day to prepare for their Week 5 matchup against the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football, but as mentioned earlier, that won't matter.
Atlanta is in full-on desperation mode at the moment after dropping to 1-3 with Week 4's narrow home loss to the New England Patriots. Meanwhile, the Jets are an absolute mess coming off a 25-point loss to the Tennessee Titans.
Which favorite is the biggest lock to cover in Week 5?
Rookie quarterback Geno Smith turned the ball over four total times in the blowout defeat and has accounted for 11 of the team's AFC-worst 12 turnovers this season.
According to the Associated Press and CBS New York, Smith could also potentially be without his two top targets in Santonio Holmes and Stephen Hill, who are both recovering from injuries sustained in Week 4's loss.
While New York's defense is nothing to sneeze at, expect Matt Ryan and the Falcons' fourth-ranked passing attack to win out in the end. The Jets haven't shown that they are capable of winning on the road this season, and until they do, it's safe to count them out in a game like this.
Spread information according to VegasInsider.com.
Follow Bleacher Report Featured Columnist Patrick Clarke on Twitter.
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