NFL

NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 4: Predicting Teams That Will Cover Your Bet

FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 12:  Aaron Dobson #17 of the New England Patriots celebrates his touchdown with Kenbrell Thompkins #85 of the New England Patriots in the first quarter against the New York Jets at Gillette Stadium on September 12, 2013 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images
Alex KayCorrespondent ISeptember 29, 2013

It’s finally Sunday morning, meaning it’s time for everyone who has yet to do so to get some last-minute bets in on the upcoming slate of NFL action.

Week 4 promises plenty of excitement, with a number of high-profile games on tap—even with the first bye week knocking two teams out of action. However, you aren’t going to want to bet on all the matchups, just a handful of those that you feel give you the best chance of covering the spread.

Keep reading to find out the latest lines for each contest (courtesy of ScoresAndOdds.com), my predicted winners and some highlighted showdowns that you would be wise to wager on.

 

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-4.5) over New York Giants

This is a matchup between two teams that are currently on opposite ends of the spectrum. The Chiefs are in the midst of a revival after a dismal 2-14 season in 2012, while the G-Men have decided to extend their 2011 Super Bowl hangover into another season.

It’s easy to tell why KC is the right play just from evaluating the matchup on paper. It is an undefeated team that has yet to turn the ball over and created nine takeaways, while the 0-3 Giants have generated just four turnovers and given the ball away an outstanding 13 times, by far the most in the league.

There was bad some luck involved with the Big Blue turnovers, and it’s unlikely that quarterback Eli Manning will throw five picks or David Wilson will fumble three times in Sunday’s battle, but the Chiefs are simply the better squad and should be able to thoroughly trounce New York without the aid of takeaways.

There’s also the fact that head coach Andy Reid has a great understanding of how the G-Men operate, stemming from his 14 years at the helm of the Philadelphia Eagles. He’s likely to have a game plan designed to destroy the Giants' weak secondary and exploit their weaknesses on offense.

Go with the chalk here, as every sign points to a thorough victory by a large margin. There likely won’t be a reason to sweat this one out, and the game could be decided by halftime.

 

New England Patriots (+3) over ATLANTA FALCONS

This is a great game to bet and forget while you watch the series finale of Breaking Bad.

The usually heavily favored Pats are getting a trio of points in a Sunday Night Football showdown with the Falcons and just happen to be a great bet to win outright.

Bettors are fading New England after the team disappointed in back-to-back games to open the season, but it seems to have worked out the kinks in a Week 3 shellacking of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Pats are now 3-0 and should be able to continue their undefeated run as long as Tom Brady can sustain his newfound rapport with his young receiving corps. Because Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski are not making the trip to Atlanta, that chemistry will definitely be the key to this game.

Atlanta has numerous imperfections itself, as the 1-2 Falcons are struggling to both get stops and create opportunities. That was evident when the team only scored two touchdowns and lost in the final moments against the Miami Dolphins in Week 3.

Although it’s a tough game on the road, the Patriots are looking like the better side to back. They should be looking to close out the game by the time you flip back from watching Walter White take care of business in the finale.

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