NFL Spreads Week 4: Last-Minute Sunday Bets You Don't Want to Miss
It’s Sunday morning, meaning you have just a small window to place your last-minute bets on early games of Week 4.
Instead of rushing into the action blindly and making rash decisions, it would be better to separate the wheat from the chaff and place down an educated wager.
Take a quick minute out of your busy morning to read over the latest lines, check out my picks for each game and have a closer look at the top plays for the 1 p.m. ET contests.
|Away Team||Home Team||Line||Predicted Winner (ATS)|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||Minnesota Vikings||PIT -3||Vikings|
|Baltimore Ravens||Buffalo Bills||BAL -3||Ravens|
|Cincinnati Bengals||Cleveland Browns||CIN -4.5||Bengals|
|Indianapolis Colts||Jacksonville Jaguars||IND -9.5||Jaguars|
|Seattle Seahawks||Houston Texans||SEA -3||Texans|
|Arizona Cardinals||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||TB -3||Cardinals|
|Chicago Bears||Detroit Lions||DET -2.5||Bears|
|New York Giants||Kansas City Chiefs||KC -4.5||Chiefs|
|New York Jets||Tennessee Titans||TEN -4||Jets|
|Dallas Cowboys||San Diego Chargers||DAL -2||Chargers|
|Washington Redskins||Oakland Raiders||WAS -3||Redskins|
|Philadelphia Eagles||Denver Broncos||DEN -11.5||Eagles|
|New England Patriots||Atlanta Falcons||ATL -2.5||Patriots|
|Miami Dolphins||New Orleans Saints||NO -7||Dolphins|
Arizona Cardinals (+3) over TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
The Cardinals are going up against a dysfunctional team that replaced its quarterback in the middle of the week, and Arizona is still getting points. It’s a win-win situation for bettors, who would have likely faded the Bucs regardless of their situation under center.
Mike Glennon has more upside and potential than Josh Freeman, but the rookie third-round draft pick left much to be desired during the preseason and is being thrust into the fire by a squad that scored a meager three points in Week 3.
Arizona should be able to take advantage by using a talented pass rush to force bad throws and cause chaos in the backfield while a sound secondary capitalizes with interceptions and forced three-and-outs.
Which team will cover?
Tampa is going to try to take this battle to the trenches, a tough war for the Bucs to win, considering they rank lower in run blocking, as per Football Outsiders, than the Cardinals.
The Red Birds can pound the rock against a squad giving up 107 yards per game on the ground, while being able to hold their own on the other side of the football. Arizona is conceding a mere 73.3 yards per contest to opposing rushers.
With that in mind, the Cardinals are a smart road play and should be able to capitalize on Sunday.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-4.5) over New York Giants
This is the stone-cold, lead-pipe lock of the week, as the undefeated Chiefs take on the 0-3 Giants in a lopsided matchup.
Kansas City boasts a best-in-the-league turnover margin of plus-nine, while the G-Men are sitting at an NFL-worst minus-nine.
Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has been preaching ball security, and his choir has been listening. Quarterback and game manager extraordinaire Alex Smith has yet to throw an interception and has been willing to make the safe checkdown over risking a deep ball. Running back Jamaal Charles is hanging on to the rock like his life depends on it and hasn’t coughed it up once.
That’s a bit opposite of what is happening with the Giants, as Eli Manning can’t seem to go a series without tossing one to the other team. Top rusher David Wilson was put in head coach Tom Coughlin's doghouse back in Week 1 and isn’t doing himself any favors while trying to escape it. He’s running scared has been overprotective to a fault after early fumbles cost him his lead-dog status.
It’s a disparity that almost assuredly will have Big Blue dropping to 0-4 in the standings and going into a full-blown panic mode by the time Sunday afternoon is finished.
Make sure you back the chalk, as the Chiefs are simply the better team in this situation and should have no problem vanquishing their turnover-happy foe.
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