Week 4 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Breaking Down Tough Calls at Running Back
Selecting your starting running backs can be a sorry chore if you didn't pick right on draft day.
Those who selected Steven Jackson, Maurice Jones-Drew and David Wilson are desperately scouring the globe for a replacement, but few serviceable options remain. Even heralded options such as Joique Bell, Bilal Powell and Bernard Pierce were scooped up in most leagues as insurance options. How many free-agent backs have risen to stardom?
James Starks had his week once Eddie Lacy got injured, but then Starks got hurt and Johnathan Franklin took charge. Before Franklin can get a chance to shine, the Green Bay Packers have a bye this weekend.
That means many owners are stuck with their guys, but could that forced loyalty yield unfortunate results? Injuries challenge these players' value while one commonly battered star is underperforming during a rare healthy campaign.
Here's how to handle some of this week's toughest decisions at running back.
Bernard Pierce (at Buffalo Bills)
Stay away, Ray Rice. Don't ruin this for us.
Bernard Pierce made his first NFL start against a tough Houston defense that has surrendered a stiff 3.3 yards per carry. Yet he plowed through with a resourceful 65 yards and touchdown. As a reward, here come the Buffalo Bills, who have allowed 405 rushing yards through three games.
Now that a friendlier opponent is on the horizon, Rice is attempting to return from a hip injury that kept him out of action last weekend. The Baltimore Ravens' team page said he is questionable for this weekend's contest.
Ray Rice (hip) is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday.— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) September 27, 2013
Ray Rice appears likely to miss Sunday's game vs. Bills: http://t.co/STdC6xnkLU— Matt Zenitz (@mzenitz) September 27, 2013
If Rice can't suit up, Pierce is an easy start. If Rice is ready to go, Pierce is still worth starting.
If his status remains this uncertain as of Thursday night, Rice will unlikely be 100 percent by Sunday. Even if he plays, Pierce should get at least half of the touches for a team that is looking to run often with Anquan Boldin gone and Dennis Pitta and Jacoby Jones hurt.
Owners would feel a lot better about starting Pierce without Rice, but they should still take the plunge on him if the fantasy first-rounder is in the mix.
Ryan Mathews (vs. Dallas Cowboys)
On the bright side, Ryan Mathews is still healthy. It turns out a healthy Ryan Mathews isn't all that great.
The injury-prone running back has logged all three games as the San Diego Chargers' starting running back this season, but none have yielded positive results. Mathews has averaged 3.6 yards per carry and scored just one touchdown during the season.
Are you starting Ryan Mathews this weekend?
In 45 carries, Mathews has only engineered one run of more than 10 yards, which is a far cry from the back who once inspired first-round consideration with the "if healthy" warning label.
While touchdowns are fickle, Mathews has always struggled to find the end zone. He has never garnered more than seven touchdowns in a season and has only scored two touchdowns during his last 15 games.
This is not the week to count on Mathews' revival. Dallas' defense has allowed 66.3 rushing yards per game, the lowest mark in the NFC. Jamaal Charles mustered a mere 55 yards against the Cowboys, and he is far better than Mathews.
As long as a decent alternative exists on the bench, sit Mathews this Sunday.
Le'Veon Bell (vs. Minnesota Vikings in London)
The Pittsburgh Steelers could receive some much-needed help at running back for their trip to England.
After missing the first three games with a foot injury, rookie Le'Veon Bell could make his team debut on Sunday. The team's official Twitter page lists him as probable.
Le'Veon Bell (foot), Cortez Allen (ankle), Heath Miller (knee), Steve McLendon and Brett Keisel (hamstrings) all probable for Sunday.— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) September 27, 2013
Pittsburgh's rag-tag rushers have combined for an AFC-low 155 rushing yards on 52 rushes. While only two teams have attempted fewer carries, Mike Tomlin is eager to get the ground game going.
We have no NFL stats to appraise Bell, who was selected in the second round to become the Steelers' newest workhorse back. We don't know if he's ready for the big show, but we'll get a chance to find out if he plays.
The Vikings have allowed 120.7 rushing yards per game and are tied for worst with five rushing touchdowns surrendered. Considering the alluring matchup, take a leap of faith on Bell and insert him in your flex spot.
|David Wilson||at Kansas City Chiefs||He has to do something of fantasy relevance before working his way back into starting lineups.||Sit|
|Knowshon Moreno||Philadelphia Eagles||Come on Moreno, you should have gone with scissors! Expect him to see more touches since Philadelphia's offense will keep the game closer longer than Oakland could.||Start|
|BenJarvus Green-Ellis||at Cleveland Browns||The Browns give up 2.8 yards per carry, and Green-Ellis averages 2.8 yards per carry. Pass.||Sit|
Schedule courtesy of NFL.com
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