Fantasy points don't grow on Ogletrees.
That was mostly true last year in Dallas despite Kevin Ogletree being the No. 3 wide receiver in a pass-heavy offense, and it's a stone-cold certainty now that he's the No. 3 wide receiver in a run-heavy offense with a rookie under center.
You may be wondering why it's even worth mentioning the fifth-year wideout who has a whopping three catches, 40 yards and a touchdown through the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' first three games of 2013.
Well, Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams are currently banged up, and if they are forced to miss Sunday's game, Ogletree is going to be the last one standing.
On that possibility alone, he deserves a flier right now—but only in 14-team leagues or larger.
Anything smaller, though, it's just not worth it at this point. V-Jax (ribs) and M-Will (hamstring) both missed a large portion of this week's practices, raising eyebrows in fantasy leagues, but they both returned on a limited basis on Friday, via NFL.com's Gregg Rosenthal:
Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams returned for a limited practice. Both are questionable.— gregg rosenthal (@greggrosenthal) September 27, 2013
Although "questionable" tags can be difficult to read, ESPN's John Clayton, via Rotoworld.com, said that both are "expected to play" against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.
Should they suit up, Ogletree must remain...ahem...planted on your waiver wire.
Right now, Kevin Ogletree belongs on fantasy rosters in...
However, if someone punches Jackson in the stomach or forces Williams to run wind sprints in the cold without stretching in the next couple of days, then by all means grab him.
Jackson and Williams have registered an absurd 53 of Josh Freeman's 94 targets (56.4 percent) through three games. Counting just wide receivers, they have garnered 53 of 70 looks (75.7 percent).
If they are somehow forced out of action, those throws are going to have to go someone, and by process of elimination, Ogletree would be in line for at least double-digit targets.
Even then, it still wouldn't be a slam-dunk fantasy play. Rookie Mike Glennon—although anyone is an upgrade right now over "Mr. 45.7 Percent Accuracy," otherwise known as Josh Freeman—will be making his first career NFL start, and if Ogletree were to be slotted into the No. 1 spot, he would be seeing a lot of Patrick Peterson.
Volume is nice in fantasy, but it can only take you so far if the overall situation isn't welcoming.
So, there you have it, ladies and gentlemen: Kevin Ogletree, someone to ignore if Jackson and Williams play—which they are expected to do—and a fringe option if they don't. If that's not a resounding endorsement, I don't know what is.
For now, only players in deep leagues need apply.