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LSU vs. Georgia: Stat Predictions for Todd Gurley and Aaron Murray

Sep 21, 2013; Athens, GA, USA; Georgia Bulldogs running back Todd Gurley (3) runs the ball against the North Texas Mean Green  during the first half at Sanford Stadium. Georgia defeated North Texas 45-21. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Brian JonesContributor INovember 6, 2016

In order for the Georgia Bulldogs to beat LSU, the offense has to be consistent.

The Tigers boast a solid defense, especially against the pass, but like Georgia’s defense, they are an inexperienced group that can give up some points.

So far, the Tigers have only given up 19 points per game. However, when they played TCU (who was ranked No. 20 at the time) in the season opener, the Tigers surrendered 27 points.  The Horned Frogs got the majority of their scores from the ground, as 14 of the 27 points came from rushing touchdowns.

LSU’s defense has given up 136 rushing yards per game, which ranks seventh in the SEC. It has also given up seven rushing touchdowns, which is the third most in the conference.

This is where Todd Gurley comes in. So far the sophomore running back has rushed for 377 yards on 63 carries. He leads the SEC in yards per game (125) and also has four rushing touchdowns, which is the third most in the conference.

Sep 21, 2013; Athens, GA, USA; Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Aaron Murray (11) throws a pass against the North Texas Mean Green during the second quarter at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Gurley’s lowest output came last week against North Texas where he rushed for 91 yards on 21 carries. So he is looking for a bounce-back week, which should happen against the Tigers. The Bulldogs should be able to give Gurley the ball 25 times, and he should get 130 yards and two touchdowns.

The three teams that have already played the Bulldogs this year know what Gurley can do and they still were not able to stop him. There is no reason the Tigers can do something different, especially the way they have played against the run this season.

If Gurley is effective in the run game, that should open some passing plays for Aaron Murray, who leads the SEC in nearly every passing category. But the Tigers defense has the second-best passing defense in the conference, as it has only given up 173 yards per game and one passing touchdowns so far this season.

Murray should be able to throw the ball some on the young Tiger D. He won’t have a game like he did against South Carolina or North Texas, but he will more likely go 19-of-27 with 245 yards, two scores and one interception.

So with those numbers, the Bulldogs should have close to 400 yards of total offense and at least 28 points. Will that be enough to win? That is a tough call because the LSU offense can score points and the defense will have its hands full with quarterback Zach Mettenberger.

So this will be a game where the offense will have to play at high level all four quarters. Murray and Gurley have had a strong start to the season. They will have to be even better to get a win against the Bayou Bengals.

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