Needless to say, I was the one getting eaten last week, as I crashed back down to Earth after going 14-2 with my picks in Week 2.
Week 4 beckons with all sorts of chances for redemption.
Let's have at it.
The predicted winner is in italics.
Last Week: 9-7
Both these teams looked downright bad at times last week. Maybe that's not a surprise when talking about the Rams, who have hardly been consistent ambassadors of well-played football. But the way the Colts manhandled the 49ers was shocking. The Rams handled the 49ers well last year, and I don't think much will change this season. I see a close game and a Rams win.
Last week, the Ravens showed us a glimpse of the team that won the Super Bowl in New Orleans, while the Bills were busy looking discombobulated against the Jets. Baltimore's offense is still a concern, but the Ravens get it done this week against the Bills.
Greg Schiano has gone to Mike Glennon at quarterback—not that it will make much of a difference. Anyone who has watched the Bucs play can see that yes, the quarterback was playing poorly and no, it was far from the reason this team is losing. The Cardinals are no powerhouse, but they have what's needed to get by the Bucs.
We already declared our independence and won the Revolutionary War. Do we really need to rub it in the faces of the English by sending them two 0-3 football teams to watch? Yes, this game will be in London, and yes, both these teams have major issues. The Steelers have the better quarterback. That's all I got.
Man, the Giants look bad—stink-up-the-joint-until-the-customers-ask-for-a-refund bad. The Chiefs are a surprising 3-0 on the strength of a bad-ass defense and a careful offense. That formula won't hold up for every team they face, but it's more than enough against the hapless Giants.
The Texans haven't looked anything like the team that raced out to a fast start in 2012. That may actually serve them well in the long run (because teams that start the season off hot rarely end it the same way), but against the Seahawks, they need to play a perfect game to pull out the victory at home. Russell Wilson and Richard Sherman won't allow that to happen. Seattle goes to 4-0.
All those good feelings about the Browns will be wiped away after they run into a Bengals team that is more talented and better coached, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Brian Hoyer makes his second start, and he'll see a difference between the Vikings secondary and the Bengals secondary. Mostly, that first one is just OK, and the other is really, really good.
Marc Trestman isn't doing wonders or working magic—but he has this Bears team playing well. The unsung star of the Bears' 3-0 start is defensive coordinator Mel Tucker. His unit is playing as well as it ever did under Lovie Smith, and maybe even better in certain areas. The Lions are dangerous on their home turf, and the Lions defensive line will be a big test for this improved Bears O-line, but Jay Cutler will make one more play than Matt Stafford to get the win.
Both these fanbases hate me and enjoy letting me know it. That's fine. It's part of the gig. I'll spend the rest of the 2013 season letting people know how wrong I was about both these teams. Although I think I was more wrong about the Titans than the Jets. Both are playing well on defense. I think Jake Locker will make fewer mistakes than Geno Smith to earn the Titans their second victory in a row.
Matt Flynn gets his first start since throwing six touchdowns against a hapless Lions secondary in 2011. And this Washington secondary may be worse. Robert Griffin III and the offense showed signs of life against the Lions, but the defense looks horrific. Yes, the Raiders have their own issues, but they'll play a buttoned-up game, limit what they ask of Flynn and get the win.
The top two offenses in the NFL square off in what could turn into a track meet. Both defenses have their work cut out for them, but the Broncos will get out in front early and won't need to look back.
Tony Romo and Philip Rivers have taken tons of grief over the years—some deserved, most of it not. Both are playing well in 2013, but Romo ends up on the winning side of the ledger in this one.